Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Segunda División · Spain

full time

Sunday, 27 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 27 September at 20:00. Originally planned for Sunday 27 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 04/09.

Real Oviedo

2–0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–0

Sporting Gijón

What Janus-12 said

93%

Under 4.5 goals

87% success over 71 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 27/09, 14:00.

Sealed on 27/09, 20:00announced on 14/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

74% success over 70 matches in this league
76%✓
72% success over 71 matches in this league
64%✓
72% success over 71 matches in this league
82%✓
54% success over 70 matches in this league
63%✓

Segunda

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	SD Eibar	8	7	0	1	+11	21
2	Castellon	8	6	2	0	+12	20
3	Almería	8	6	0	2	+8	18
4	Girona	8	4	2	2	+6	14
5	Mallorca	8	4	2	2	+5	14
6	Burgos	8	4	2	2	+3	14
7	Sabadell	8	3	4	1	+2	13
8	Sporting Gijón	8	4	1	3	0	13
9	Granada	8	3	2	3	0	11
10	Real Oviedo	8	3	2	3	0	11
11	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	-1	11
12	Tenerife	8	3	2	3	-2	11
13	Leganés	8	3	2	3	-5	11
14	Real Valladolid	8	2	3	3	-3	9
15	Cordoba	8	3	0	5	-5	9
16	Sociedad B	8	2	2	4	-2	8
17	Eldense	8	2	2	4	-2	8
18	Celta B	8	2	2	4	-4	8
19	Cádiz	8	1	4	3	+1	7
20	Andorra	8	2	1	5	-3	7
21	Ceuta	8	1	2	5	-11	5
22	Albacete	8	0	1	7	-10	1

What we announced

5/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals93%held
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 76th minute, on the Sporting Gijón side.
- The two teams managed only 9 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Real Oviedo or draw76%held
- Sporting Gijón played 14 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 76th minute.
- Real Oviedo took the lead in the 8th minute and never let it go.
Over 1.5 goals64%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 8th minute, 2 in total.
- The two teams had 9 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 3.5 goals82%held
Under 2.5 goals63%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableReal Oviedo 10th, Sporting Gijón 8th (Segunda)

During the match

During the match8′ opening goal, Real Oviedo (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match76′ sending-off, Sporting Gijón (César Gelabert)
During the match82′ Real Oviedo go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 87.3% to 87.5% success rate, over 72 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 599,127 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Real Oviedo on the left, Sporting Gijón on the right.

First half

8'Goal · Chris Ramos (assist : Mikel Goti Lopez)
12'Substitution · Chris Ramos ⇄ Alberto Reina
Yellow card · Guillermo Rosas18'
18'Yellow card · Samuel Rodríguez de la Riva
Yellow card · Pablo Vázquez39'
Substitution · Nikita Iosifov ⇄ Pablo García45+3'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

63'Yellow card · Jacobo González
Substitution · Pablo Vázquez ⇄ Alejo Sarco65'
Substitution · Antonio Manuel Casas Marin ⇄ Gaspar Campos65'
Yellow card · Álex Corredera66'
Yellow card · Nicolás Ricardo Larcamón66'
71'Substitution · Jacobo González ⇄ Víctor García Mingo
71'Substitution · Daniel Villahermosa ⇄ Aritz Aldasoro
Substitution · Manuel Rodríguez Paz ⇄ Mamadou Loum73'
Substitution · Guillermo Rosas ⇄ Iker Martinez Martinez73'
74'Yellow card · Dani Calvo
Yellow card · Aimar Duñabeitia74'
VAR: Card upgrade confirmed · César Gelabert75'
Red card · César Gelabert76'
Yellow card · Rubén Yáñez76'
77'Substitution · David Jimenez ⇄ Aisar Ahmed
77'Substitution · Samuel Rodríguez de la Riva ⇄ Enzo Pérez Miranda
82'Goal · Enzo Pérez Miranda (assist : Víctor García Mingo)
Yellow card · Andres Cuenca89'
90'Yellow card · Aisar Ahmed

What we announced

5/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals93%held
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 76th minute, on the Sporting Gijón side.
- The two teams managed only 9 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Real Oviedo or draw76%held
- Sporting Gijón played 14 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 76th minute.
- Real Oviedo took the lead in the 8th minute and never let it go.
Over 1.5 goals64%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 8th minute, 2 in total.
- The two teams had 9 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 3.5 goals82%held
Under 2.5 goals63%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableReal Oviedo 10th, Sporting Gijón 8th (Segunda)

During the match

During the match8′ opening goal, Real Oviedo (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match76′ sending-off, Sporting Gijón (César Gelabert)
During the match82′ Real Oviedo go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 87.3% to 87.5% success rate, over 72 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 599,127 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Segunda

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes