Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Segunda División · Spain

full time

Sunday, 27 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 27 September at 17:30. Originally planned for Sunday 27 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 04/09.

SD Eibar

3–2full timeHT 2–1 · 2H 1–1

Las Palmas

What Janus-12 said

91%

Under 4.5 goals

88% success over 69 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 9 %

A prediction at 91 % fails 9 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

1xBet
BetPawa
Betsson
Betwinner
MelBet
Paripesa
SportyBet

Open a Betwinner account

Promo code: janus-12

Partner link: Janus-12 is paid for accounts opened with this link or code.

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 27/09, 14:00.

Sealed on 27/09, 17:30announced on 13/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

74% success over 68 matches in this league
80%✓
72% success over 69 matches in this league
68%✓
72% success over 69 matches in this league
73%✗
54% success over 68 matches in this league
53%✗
41% success over 69 matches in this league
51%✓

Segunda

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	SD Eibar	8	7	0	1	+11	21
2	Castellon	8	6	2	0	+12	20
3	Almería	8	6	0	2	+8	18
4	Girona	8	4	2	2	+6	14
5	Mallorca	8	4	2	2	+5	14
6	Burgos	8	4	2	2	+3	14
7	Sabadell	8	3	4	1	+2	13
8	Sporting Gijón	8	4	1	3	0	13
9	Granada	8	3	2	3	0	11
10	Real Oviedo	8	3	2	3	0	11
11	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	-1	11
12	Tenerife	8	3	2	3	-2	11
13	Leganés	8	3	2	3	-5	11
14	Real Valladolid	8	2	3	3	-3	9
15	Cordoba	8	3	0	5	-5	9
16	Sociedad B	8	2	2	4	-2	8
17	Eldense	8	2	2	4	-2	8
18	Celta B	8	2	2	4	-4	8
19	Cádiz	8	1	4	3	+1	7
20	Andorra	8	2	1	5	-3	7
21	Ceuta	8	1	2	5	-11	5
22	Albacete	8	0	1	7	-10	1

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals91%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 6th minute, 5 in total.
- The two teams had 11 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
SD Eibar or draw80%held
- SD Eibar took the lead in the 6th minute and never let it go.
- SD Eibar took control early: opening goal in the 6th minute.
Over 1.5 goals68%held
Under 3.5 goals73%lost
Under 2.5 goals53%lost
SD Eibar to win51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSD Eibar 1st, Las Palmas 11th (Segunda)

During the match

During the match6′ opening goal, SD Eibar (1-0)
During the match9′ SD Eibar go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match85′ last goal, Las Palmas
During the match90′ sending-off, Las Palmas (Iñaki González Zambrano)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 88.4% to 87.1% success rate, over 70 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 599,046 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

SD Eibar on the left, Las Palmas on the right.

First half

6'Goal · Ander Madariaga Susaeta (assist : Malcom Ares)
9'Goal · Alvaro Rodriguez (assist : Malcom Ares)
Goal · Valentín Alejandro Pezzolesi (assist : Iván Jaime)24'
Yellow card · Giovanni Bonfanti28'
Yellow card · Alex Suárez37'

Half-time2 – 1

Second half

Substitution · Manu Fuster ⇄ Jefte Betancor Sanchez61'
62'Goal · Javier Martón Ansó (assist : jon guruzeta)
68'Substitution · Malcom Ares ⇄ Elijah Gift Izobodo John
68'Substitution · Javier Martón Ansó ⇄ Jon Bautista
69'Substitution · Aleix Garrido ⇄ Lucas Nuñez Ramirez
Yellow card · Kirian Rodríguez69'
Substitution · Jesé Rodríguez ⇄ Elías Romero71'
Substitution · Alex Suárez ⇄ Andrés Rodríguez Martínez71'
79'Substitution · jon guruzeta ⇄ Pejiño
Substitution · Giovanni Bonfanti ⇄ Sandro Ramírez81'
Yellow card · Iván Jaime81'
Goal · Jefte Betancor Sanchez (assist : Elías Romero)85'
Yellow card · Andrés Rodríguez Martínez86'
Yellow card · Valentín Alejandro Pezzolesi90+1'
Yellow card · Iñaki González Zambrano90+2'
Red card · Iñaki González Zambrano90+4'

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals91%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 6th minute, 5 in total.
- The two teams had 11 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
SD Eibar or draw80%held
- SD Eibar took the lead in the 6th minute and never let it go.
- SD Eibar took control early: opening goal in the 6th minute.
Over 1.5 goals68%held
Under 3.5 goals73%lost
Under 2.5 goals53%lost
SD Eibar to win51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSD Eibar 1st, Las Palmas 11th (Segunda)

During the match

During the match6′ opening goal, SD Eibar (1-0)
During the match9′ SD Eibar go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match85′ last goal, Las Palmas
During the match90′ sending-off, Las Palmas (Iñaki González Zambrano)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 88.4% to 87.1% success rate, over 70 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 599,046 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Segunda

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes