Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Segunda División · Spain

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 20 September at 20:00. Originally planned for Sunday 20 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Leganés

3–2full timeHT 2–1 · 2H 1–1

Granada

What Janus-12 said

94%

Under 4.5 goals

90% success over 61 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 6 %

A prediction at 94 % fails 6 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 17:04.

Sealed on 20/09, 20:00announced on 07/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

75% success over 61 matches in this league
84%✗
73% success over 60 matches in this league
75%✓
70% success over 61 matches in this league
64%✓
56% success over 61 matches in this league
65%✗

Segunda

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	SD Eibar	8	7	0	1	+11	21
2	Castellon	8	6	2	0	+12	20
3	Almería	8	6	0	2	+8	18
4	Girona	8	4	2	2	+6	14
5	Mallorca	8	4	2	2	+5	14
6	Burgos	8	4	2	2	+3	14
7	Sabadell	8	3	4	1	+2	13
8	Sporting Gijón	8	4	1	3	0	13
9	Granada	8	3	2	3	0	11
10	Real Oviedo	8	3	2	3	0	11
11	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	-1	11
12	Tenerife	8	3	2	3	-2	11
13	Leganés	8	3	2	3	-5	11
14	Real Valladolid	8	2	3	3	-3	9
15	Cordoba	8	3	0	5	-5	9
16	Sociedad B	8	2	2	4	-2	8
17	Eldense	8	2	2	4	-2	8
18	Celta B	8	2	2	4	-4	8
19	Cádiz	8	1	4	3	+1	7
20	Andorra	8	2	1	5	-3	7
21	Ceuta	8	1	2	5	-11	5
22	Albacete	8	0	1	7	-10	1

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals94%lost
- The two teams had 19 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 4th minute, 5 in total.
Under 3.5 goals84%lost
Leganés or draw75%held
- Leganés took the lead in the 90th minute and never let it go.
- Leganés took control early: opening goal in the 4th minute.
Over 1.5 goals64%held
Under 2.5 goals65%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLeganés 13th, Granada 9th (Segunda)

During the match

During the match4′ opening goal, Leganés (1-0)
During the match7′ Leganés go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match52′ Granada come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match90′ Leganés retake the lead (3-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 90.2% to 88.7% success rate, over 62 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,964 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Leganés on the left, Granada on the right.

First half

4'Goal · Naim Garcia (assist : Ismael Gharbi)
Yellow card · Owen Emeka6'
7'Goal · Patrick Soko
Own goal · Ignasi Miquel16'
29'Yellow card · Zico Buurmeester
Yellow card · Sergio López38'
Substitution · Owen Emeka ⇄ Sergio Rodelas Pintor45'

Half-time2 – 1

Second half

Goal · Alejandro Mendez (assist : Sergio Rodelas Pintor)52'
59'Substitution · Patrick Soko ⇄ Álvaro Morata
59'Substitution · Alejandro San Cristobal Sanchez ⇄ Dani Rodriguez
59'Substitution · Lalo Aguilar ⇄ Rubén Pulido
59'Substitution · Ignasi Miquel ⇄ Francisco Montero
Substitution · Diego Varela Pampín ⇄ Ángelo García61'
Substitution · Jorge Pascual ⇄ Pedro Alemañ Serna66'
Substitution · Alejandro Mendez ⇄ Chinaza Onouha66'
Yellow card · Gerard Gumbau69'
78'Yellow card · Rubén Albés Yáñez
Substitution · José Manuel Arnáiz ⇄ Mario Jiménez Gambín78'
80'Substitution · Zico Buurmeester ⇄ Suleiman El Haddadi Mohamed
85'Yellow card · Marvelous Antolín Garzón
90'Goal · Ismael Gharbi (assist : Suleiman El Haddadi Mohamed)
Yellow card · Pedro Alemañ Serna90+2'

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals94%lost
- The two teams had 19 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 4th minute, 5 in total.
Under 3.5 goals84%lost
Leganés or draw75%held
- Leganés took the lead in the 90th minute and never let it go.
- Leganés took control early: opening goal in the 4th minute.
Over 1.5 goals64%held
Under 2.5 goals65%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLeganés 13th, Granada 9th (Segunda)

During the match

During the match4′ opening goal, Leganés (1-0)
During the match7′ Leganés go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match52′ Granada come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match90′ Leganés retake the lead (3-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 90.2% to 88.7% success rate, over 62 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,964 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Segunda

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes