Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Segunda División · Spain

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 20 September at 17:30. Originally planned for Sunday 20 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Almería

2–0full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 0–0

Celta B

What Janus-12 said

88%

Under 4.5 goals

90% success over 59 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 20/09, 17:30announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

75% success over 59 matches in this league
76%✓
74% success over 58 matches in this league
78%✓
69% success over 59 matches in this league
71%✓
56% success over 59 matches in this league
57%✓
39% success over 59 matches in this league
51%✓

Segunda

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	SD Eibar	8	7	0	1	+11	21
2	Castellon	8	6	2	0	+12	20
3	Almería	8	6	0	2	+8	18
4	Girona	8	4	2	2	+6	14
5	Mallorca	8	4	2	2	+5	14
6	Burgos	8	4	2	2	+3	14
7	Sabadell	8	3	4	1	+2	13
8	Sporting Gijón	8	4	1	3	0	13
9	Granada	8	3	2	3	0	11
10	Real Oviedo	8	3	2	3	0	11
11	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	-1	11
12	Tenerife	8	3	2	3	-2	11
13	Leganés	8	3	2	3	-5	11
14	Real Valladolid	8	2	3	3	-3	9
15	Cordoba	8	3	0	5	-5	9
16	Sociedad B	8	2	2	4	-2	8
17	Eldense	8	2	2	4	-2	8
18	Celta B	8	2	2	4	-4	8
19	Cádiz	8	1	4	3	+1	7
20	Andorra	8	2	1	5	-3	7
21	Ceuta	8	1	2	5	-11	5
22	Albacete	8	0	1	7	-10	1

What we announced

6/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals88%held
- The two teams managed only 7 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Under 3.5 goals76%held
Almería or draw78%held
- Almería took the lead in the 6th minute and never let it go.
- Almería took control early: opening goal in the 6th minute.
Over 1.5 goals71%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 6th minute, 2 in total.
- The two teams had 7 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 2.5 goals57%held
Almería to win51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAlmería 3rd, Celta B 18th (Segunda)

During the match

During the match6′ opening goal, Almería (1-0)
During the match18′ Almería go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 89.8% to 90% success rate, over 60 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Almería on the left, Celta B on the right.

First half

6'Goal · Nicolás Melamed Ribaudo (assist : Javier Muñoz Jiménez)
18'Goal · Javier Muñoz Jiménez (assist : Marcos Luna)
Substitution · Ángel Arcos ⇄ Mateo Sobral Sabajanes45'
Substitution · Bernard Sarpong Somuah ⇄ Alvaro·Marin Sesma45'
45'Substitution · Stefan Džodić ⇄ Mikel Vesga

Half-time2 – 0

Second half

62'Substitution · Nicolás Melamed Ribaudo ⇄ Sergio Arribas Calvo
Substitution · Joel Lopez ⇄ Pablo Gavián Alonso64'
Substitution · Hugo Cuenca ⇄ Vladimir Henrique Silva73'
79'Substitution · Adrián Embarba ⇄ Álex Sola
79'Substitution · Brian Cipenga ⇄ Jon Morcillo
Substitution · Óscar Marcos ⇄ Aldrine Kibet83'
Yellow card · Adrià Capdevila87'
88'Substitution · Miguel De La Fuente ⇄ Thalys Henrique Gomes de Araújo

What we announced

6/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals88%held
- The two teams managed only 7 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Under 3.5 goals76%held
Almería or draw78%held
- Almería took the lead in the 6th minute and never let it go.
- Almería took control early: opening goal in the 6th minute.
Over 1.5 goals71%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 6th minute, 2 in total.
- The two teams had 7 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Under 2.5 goals57%held
Almería to win51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAlmería 3rd, Celta B 18th (Segunda)

During the match

During the match6′ opening goal, Almería (1-0)
During the match18′ Almería go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 89.8% to 90% success rate, over 60 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Segunda

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes