Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Segunda División · Spain

full time

Saturday, 29 August 2026

Girona

5–2full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 4–2

Las Palmas

What Janus-12 said

93%

Under 4.5 goals

87% success over 23 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 7 %

A prediction at 93 % fails 7 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 29/08, 06:06.

Sealed on 29/08, 20:30announced on 16/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

82% success over 22 matches in this league
74%✓
78% success over 23 matches in this league
80%✗
65% success over 23 matches in this league
62%✗
57% success over 23 matches in this league
67%✓

Segunda

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	SD Eibar	8	7	0	1	+11	21
2	Castellon	8	6	2	0	+12	20
3	Almería	8	6	0	2	+8	18
4	Girona	8	4	2	2	+6	14
5	Mallorca	8	4	2	2	+5	14
6	Burgos	8	4	2	2	+3	14
7	Sabadell	8	3	4	1	+2	13
8	Sporting Gijón	8	4	1	3	0	13
9	Granada	8	3	2	3	0	11
10	Real Oviedo	8	3	2	3	0	11
11	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	-1	11
12	Tenerife	8	3	2	3	-2	11
13	Leganés	8	3	2	3	-5	11
14	Real Valladolid	8	2	3	3	-3	9
15	Cordoba	8	3	0	5	-5	9
16	Sociedad B	8	2	2	4	-2	8
17	Eldense	8	2	2	4	-2	8
18	Celta B	8	2	2	4	-4	8
19	Cádiz	8	1	4	3	+1	7
20	Andorra	8	2	1	5	-3	7
21	Ceuta	8	1	2	5	-11	5
22	Albacete	8	0	1	7	-10	1

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals93%lost
- The two teams had 13 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Girona or draw74%held
- Las Palmas played 15 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 75th minute.
- Girona took the lead in the 55th minute and never let it go.
Under 3.5 goals80%lost
Under 2.5 goals62%lost
Over 1.5 goals67%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableGirona 4th, Las Palmas 11th (Segunda)

During the match

During the match22′ opening goal, Girona (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match48′ equaliser, Las Palmas (1-1)
During the match55′ Girona retake the lead (2-1)
During the match60′ Girona go 2 goals up (3-1)
Line-up60′ the goal came off the bench: Y. Asprilla (Girona)
Line-up72′ the goal came off the bench: Y. Asprilla (Girona)
During the match75′ sending-off, Las Palmas (Jese)
During the match90′ last goal, Girona

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 87% to 83.3% success rate, over 24 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,588 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Girona on the left, Las Palmas on the right.

First half

6'Yellow card · J. Garcia
22'Goal · J. Garcia (assist : F. Beltran)
Yellow card · E. Loiodice27'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Substitution · J. Betancor ⇄ Ivan Jaime46'
Substitution · J. Herzog ⇄ G. Bonfanti46'
Goal · Ivan Jaime48'
55'Goal · F. Beltran
57'Substitution · J. Garcia ⇄ Y. Asprilla
60'Goal · Y. Asprilla (assist : V. Vanat)
67'VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside · A. Ruiz
Substitution · E. Loiodice ⇄ I. Gonzalez69'
Substitution · M. Fuster ⇄ S. Ramirez69'
72'Goal · Y. Asprilla (assist : A. Ruiz)
73'Substitution · D. Lopez ⇄ J. Bonar
73'Substitution · A. Ruiz ⇄ I. Morante
74'Yellow card · B. Gil
Red card · Jese75'
Substitution · K. Rodriguez ⇄ S. Ruiz79'
83'Substitution · V. Vanat ⇄ D. van de Beek
84'Substitution · F. Beltran ⇄ O. Pyshchur
Goal · T. Miyashiro (assist : I. Gonzalez)85'
90+1'Goal · I. Gonzalez
Yellow card · G. Bonfanti90+3'

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals93%lost
- The two teams had 13 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Girona or draw74%held
- Las Palmas played 15 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 75th minute.
- Girona took the lead in the 55th minute and never let it go.
Under 3.5 goals80%lost
Under 2.5 goals62%lost
Over 1.5 goals67%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableGirona 4th, Las Palmas 11th (Segunda)

During the match

During the match22′ opening goal, Girona (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match48′ equaliser, Las Palmas (1-1)
During the match55′ Girona retake the lead (2-1)
During the match60′ Girona go 2 goals up (3-1)
Line-up60′ the goal came off the bench: Y. Asprilla (Girona)
Line-up72′ the goal came off the bench: Y. Asprilla (Girona)
During the match75′ sending-off, Las Palmas (Jese)
During the match90′ last goal, Girona

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 87% to 83.3% success rate, over 24 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,588 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Segunda

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes