Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League (Ukraine) · Ukraine

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 20 September at 11:00. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 09/09.

Kudrivka

2–3full timeHT 1–2 · 2H 1–1

Kolos Kovalivka

What Janus-12 said

82%

Under 3.5 goals

87% success over 31 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 18 %

A prediction at 82 % fails 18 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 3.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 17:04.

Sealed on 20/09, 11:00announced on 05/09/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

71% success over 31 matches in this league
76%✗
71% success over 31 matches in this league
61%✓
69% success over 29 matches in this league
83%✓
67% success over 33 matches in this league
80%✓
67% success over 24 matches in this league
63%✗
48% success over 33 matches in this league
50%✓

Premier League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Polessya	7	6	0	1	+10	18
2	Shakhtar Donetsk	7	6	0	1	+11	18
3	Karpaty	7	4	2	1	+10	14
4	Dynamo Kyiv	6	4	1	1	+4	13
5	FC Kharkiv	6	4	0	2	+8	12
6	Veres Rivne	7	2	3	2	0	9
7	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	7	2	2	3	-1	8
8	LNZ Cherkasy	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Zorya Luhansk	7	2	2	3	-4	8
10	Livyi Bereh	6	1	4	1	+1	7
11	Bukovyna	7	1	4	2	-2	7
12	Chornomorets	6	1	2	3	-4	5
13	Kolos Kovalivka	6	1	2	3	-4	5
14	Hirnyk	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Obolon'-Brovar	7	0	4	3	-10	4
16	Kudrivka	7	0	2	5	-13	2

What we announced

4/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 3.5 goals82%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 19th minute, 5 in total.
At most 1 goal before half-time76%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 19′ Kudrivka, 30′ Kolos Kovalivka, 36′ Kolos Kovalivka.
Over 1.5 goals61%held
Draw or Kolos Kovalivka ahead at half-time83%held
Draw or Kolos Kovalivka80%held
- Kolos Kovalivka took control early: opening goal in the 30th minute.
Under 2.5 goals63%lost
Kolos Kovalivka to win50%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableKudrivka 16th, Kolos Kovalivka 13th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match19′ opening goal, Kudrivka (1-0)
During the match30′ equaliser, Kolos Kovalivka (1-1)
During the match36′ turnaround, Kolos Kovalivka go ahead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match55′ turnaround, Kolos Kovalivka go ahead (1-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 3.5 goals” goes from 87.1% to 84.4% success rate, over 32 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Kudrivka on the left, Kolos Kovalivka on the right.

First half

Substitution · Elias Telles ⇄ D. Khrypchuk12'
19'Goal · Y. Smyrnyi (assist : A. Dumanyuk)
25'Yellow card · Y. Smyrnyi
Yellow card · R. Goncharenko25'
Goal · O. Demchenko (assist : A. Salabay)30'
Yellow card · D. Khrypchuk33'
35'Yellow card · M. Ogarkov
Goal · D. Khrypchuk (assist : A. Rrapaj)36'
Yellow card · Y. Klymchuk39'
42'Yellow card · M. Rosales

Half-time1 – 2

Second half

Substitution · Y. Klymchuk ⇄ I. Kane46'
Substitution · O. Savchuk ⇄ A. Ponedelnik46'
46'Substitution · O. Belyaev ⇄ D. Svityukha
46'Substitution · M. Ogarkov ⇄ D. Semenov
47'Yellow card · I. Petryak
Goal · D. Ndukve (assist : A. Rrapaj)55'
62'Goal · Y. Smyrnyi (assist : D. Svityukha)
67'Substitution · I. Petryak ⇄ R. Verley
67'Substitution · Y. Smyrnyi ⇄ O. O. Yushchenko
Substitution · D. Khrypchuk ⇄ L. Stankovski70'
Yellow card · A. Tsurikov74'
Yellow card · O. Demchenko78'
Substitution · D. Ndukve ⇄ A. Tahiri81'
81'Substitution · R. Owusu ⇄ S. Sten
Yellow card · M. Burda82'
84'Yellow card · A. Yashkov
Yellow card · A. Tahiri87'

What we announced

4/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 3.5 goals82%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 19th minute, 5 in total.
At most 1 goal before half-time76%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 19′ Kudrivka, 30′ Kolos Kovalivka, 36′ Kolos Kovalivka.
Over 1.5 goals61%held
Draw or Kolos Kovalivka ahead at half-time83%held
Draw or Kolos Kovalivka80%held
- Kolos Kovalivka took control early: opening goal in the 30th minute.
Under 2.5 goals63%lost
Kolos Kovalivka to win50%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableKudrivka 16th, Kolos Kovalivka 13th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match19′ opening goal, Kudrivka (1-0)
During the match30′ equaliser, Kolos Kovalivka (1-1)
During the match36′ turnaround, Kolos Kovalivka go ahead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match55′ turnaround, Kolos Kovalivka go ahead (1-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 3.5 goals” goes from 87.1% to 84.4% success rate, over 32 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes