Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League (Ukraine) · Ukraine

full time

Friday, 18 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Friday 18 September at 11:00. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 09/09.

Chornomorets

1–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–1

Obolon'-Brovar

What Janus-12 said

82%

Under 3.5 goals

85% success over 26 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 1 bookmaker

Bet offered: Under 3.5 goals

1xBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 17/09, 23:31.

Sealed on 18/09, 11:00announced on 05/09/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

71% success over 24 matches in this league
67%✗
69% success over 26 matches in this league
63%✓
65% success over 26 matches in this league
75%✓
61% success over 28 matches in this league
81%✓
60% success over 20 matches in this league
64%✓
43% success over 28 matches in this league
53%✗

Premier League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Polessya	7	6	0	1	+10	18
2	Shakhtar Donetsk	7	6	0	1	+11	18
3	Karpaty	7	4	2	1	+10	14
4	Dynamo Kyiv	6	4	1	1	+4	13
5	FC Kharkiv	6	4	0	2	+8	12
6	Veres Rivne	7	2	3	2	0	9
7	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	7	2	2	3	-1	8
8	LNZ Cherkasy	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Zorya Luhansk	7	2	2	3	-4	8
10	Livyi Bereh	6	1	4	1	+1	7
11	Bukovyna	7	1	4	2	-2	7
12	Chornomorets	6	1	2	3	-4	5
13	Kolos Kovalivka	6	1	2	3	-4	5
14	Hirnyk	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Obolon'-Brovar	7	0	4	3	-10	4
16	Kudrivka	7	0	2	5	-13	2

What we announced

5/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 3.5 goals82%held
Draw or Obolon'-Brovar ahead at half-time67%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 37′ Chornomorets.
Over 1.5 goals63%held
At most 1 goal before half-time75%held
Chornomorets or draw81%held
- Chornomorets were never behind.
Under 2.5 goals64%held
Chornomorets to win53%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Obolon'-Brovar scored in the 90th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableChornomorets 12th, Obolon'-Brovar 15th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match37′ opening goal, Chornomorets (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match90′ equaliser, Obolon'-Brovar (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 3.5 goals” goes from 84.6% to 85.2% success rate, over 27 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,074 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Chornomorets on the left, Obolon'-Brovar on the right.

First half

16'Yellow card · M. Kogut
Yellow card · T. Moroz22'
28'Yellow card · M. Jobe
37'Penalty goal · K. Popov
37'Substitution · M. Kogut ⇄ V. Faraseyenko
37'Substitution · M. Jobe ⇄ G. Robakidze
Substitution · T. Moroz ⇄ S. Sukhanov42'
45+1'Yellow card · A. Avagimyan

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

46'Substitution · A. Avagimyan ⇄ D. Klyots
Substitution · D. Ustymenko ⇄ T. Lyakh46'
Yellow card · S. Sukhanov49'
Yellow card · M. Chekh53'
57'Yellow card · C. Mba
Substitution · M. Chekh ⇄ R. Volokhatyi60'
Substitution · O. Slobodyan ⇄ D. Myshnyov60'
60'Substitution · C. Mba ⇄ J. D. Yoka
Yellow card · K. Prokopchuk61'
Substitution · A. Shulyanskyi ⇄ A. Kulakovskyi66'
Yellow card · A. Kulakovskyi83'
86'Yellow card · O. Pushkaryov
88'Yellow card · V. Kurko
Yellow card · A. Matkevych88'
Goal · N. Fedorivsky90+2'

What we announced

5/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 3.5 goals82%held
Draw or Obolon'-Brovar ahead at half-time67%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 37′ Chornomorets.
Over 1.5 goals63%held
At most 1 goal before half-time75%held
Chornomorets or draw81%held
- Chornomorets were never behind.
Under 2.5 goals64%held
Chornomorets to win53%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Obolon'-Brovar scored in the 90th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableChornomorets 12th, Obolon'-Brovar 15th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match37′ opening goal, Chornomorets (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match90′ equaliser, Obolon'-Brovar (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 3.5 goals” goes from 84.6% to 85.2% success rate, over 27 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,074 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes