Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League (Ukraine) · Ukraine

full time

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Match postponed (2 times)

Brought forward to Saturday 12 September at 11:00. Originally planned for Saturday 12 September at 13:30.

Change noted on 09/09.

LNZ Cherkasy

3–1full timeHT 3–0 · 2H 0–1

Obolon'-Brovar

What Janus-12 said

82%

Under 3.5 goals

86% success over 21 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 18 %

A prediction at 82 % fails 18 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 3.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 12/09, 04:50.

Sealed on 12/09, 11:00announced on 29/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

80% success over 20 matches in this league
59%✗
67% success over 21 matches in this league
74%✗
67% success over 21 matches in this league
66%✓
61% success over 23 matches in this league
85%✓
59% success over 17 matches in this league
60%✗
39% success over 23 matches in this league
61%✓

Premier League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Polessya	7	6	0	1	+10	18
2	Shakhtar Donetsk	7	6	0	1	+11	18
3	Karpaty	7	4	2	1	+10	14
4	Dynamo Kyiv	6	4	1	1	+4	13
5	FC Kharkiv	6	4	0	2	+8	12
6	Veres Rivne	7	2	3	2	0	9
7	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	7	2	2	3	-1	8
8	LNZ Cherkasy	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Zorya Luhansk	7	2	2	3	-4	8
10	Livyi Bereh	6	1	4	1	+1	7
11	Bukovyna	7	1	4	2	-2	7
12	Chornomorets	6	1	2	3	-4	5
13	Kolos Kovalivka	6	1	2	3	-4	5
14	Hirnyk	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Obolon'-Brovar	7	0	4	3	-10	4
16	Kudrivka	7	0	2	5	-13	2

What we announced

3/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 3.5 goals82%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 10th minute, 4 in total.
Draw or Obolon'-Brovar ahead at half-time59%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 3-0 at half-time, 10′ LNZ Cherkasy, 12′ LNZ Cherkasy, 45′ LNZ Cherkasy.
At most 1 goal before half-time74%lost
Over 1.5 goals66%held
LNZ Cherkasy or draw85%held
- LNZ Cherkasy took the lead in the 10th minute and never let it go.
- LNZ Cherkasy took control early: opening goal in the 10th minute.
Under 2.5 goals60%lost
LNZ Cherkasy to win61%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLNZ Cherkasy 8th, Obolon'-Brovar 15th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match10′ opening goal, LNZ Cherkasy (1-0)
During the match12′ LNZ Cherkasy go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-0

What it changes

In this league, “Under 3.5 goals” goes from 85.7% to 81.8% success rate, over 22 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

LNZ Cherkasy on the left, Obolon'-Brovar on the right.

First half

Yellow card · O. Serhiyovych Zhovtenko8'
10'Penalty goal · Talles Brener
12'Goal · P. Yade (assist : O. Drambayev)
Substitution · O. Serhiyovych Zhovtenko ⇄ A. Matkevych21'
28'Yellow card · Y. Tverdokhlib
45+1'Goal · T. Cara (assist : A. Yakubu)

Half-time3 – 0

Second half

Substitution · D. Shostak ⇄ D. Myshnyov46'
60'Substitution · A. Yakubu ⇄ Y. Pastukh
60'Substitution · T. Cara ⇄ D. Kuzyk
Substitution · O. Slobodyan ⇄ S. Sukhanov60'
Substitution · D. Ustymenko ⇄ T. Lyakh61'
63'Substitution · Y. Tverdokhlib ⇄ C. David
Goal · A. Matkevych (assist : A. Shulyanskyi)67'
68'Substitution · N. Muravskyi ⇄ B. Slyubyk
68'Substitution · Talles Brener ⇄ M. Jashari
Substitution · A. Shulyanskyi ⇄ D. Teslyuk80'
Yellow card · V. Yermakov82'
88'Yellow card · Y. Pastukh
90+3'Yellow card · A. Ryabov

What we announced

3/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 3.5 goals82%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 10th minute, 4 in total.
Draw or Obolon'-Brovar ahead at half-time59%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 3-0 at half-time, 10′ LNZ Cherkasy, 12′ LNZ Cherkasy, 45′ LNZ Cherkasy.
At most 1 goal before half-time74%lost
Over 1.5 goals66%held
LNZ Cherkasy or draw85%held
- LNZ Cherkasy took the lead in the 10th minute and never let it go.
- LNZ Cherkasy took control early: opening goal in the 10th minute.
Under 2.5 goals60%lost
LNZ Cherkasy to win61%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLNZ Cherkasy 8th, Obolon'-Brovar 15th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match10′ opening goal, LNZ Cherkasy (1-0)
During the match12′ LNZ Cherkasy go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-0

What it changes

In this league, “Under 3.5 goals” goes from 85.7% to 81.8% success rate, over 22 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes