Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League (Ukraine) · Ukraine

full time

Friday, 11 September 2026

Date changed (3 times)

Brought forward to Friday 11 September at 11:00. Originally planned for Friday 11 September at 13:30.

Change noted on 10/09.

Kolos Kovalivka

0-2full timeHT 0–2 · 2H 0–0

Karpaty

What Janus-12 said

78%

Under 3.5 goals

85% success over 20 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 3.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 11/09, 04:45.

Sealed on 11/09, 11:00announced on 29/08/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

79% success over 19 matches in this league
77%✓
70% success over 20 matches in this league
70%✗
65% success over 20 matches in this league
72%✓
59% success over 22 matches in this league
71%✓
56% success over 16 matches in this league
55%✓

Premier League

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Polessya	7	6	0	1	+10	18
2	Shakhtar Donetsk	7	6	0	1	+11	18
3	Karpaty	7	4	2	1	+10	14
4	Dynamo Kyiv	6	4	1	1	+4	13
5	FC Kharkiv	6	4	0	2	+8	12
6	Veres Rivne	7	2	3	2	0	9
7	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	7	2	2	3	-1	8
8	LNZ Cherkasy	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Zorya Luhansk	7	2	2	3	-4	8
10	Livyi Bereh	6	1	4	1	+1	7
11	Bukovyna	7	1	4	2	-2	7
12	Chornomorets	6	1	2	3	-4	5
13	Kolos Kovalivka	6	1	2	3	-4	5
14	Hirnyk	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Obolon'-Brovar	7	0	4	3	-10	4
16	Kudrivka	7	0	2	5	-13	2

What we announced

5/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 3.5 goals78%held
Draw or Karpaty ahead at half-time77%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-2 at half-time, 9′ Karpaty, 20′ Karpaty.
At most 1 goal before half-time70%lost
Over 1.5 goals72%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 9th minute, 2 in total.
Draw or Karpaty71%held
- Karpaty took the lead in the 9th minute and never let it go.
- Karpaty took control early: opening goal in the 9th minute.
Under 2.5 goals55%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableKolos Kovalivka 13th, Karpaty 3rd (Premier League)

During the match

During the match9′ opening goal, Karpaty (0-1)
During the match20′ Karpaty go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2

What it changes

In this league, “Under 3.5 goals” goes from 85% to 85.7% success rate, over 21 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Kolos Kovalivka on the left, Karpaty on the right.

First half

Goal · N. Rusyn9'
Goal · J. Sery20'
Yellow card · V. Baboglo32'
39'Yellow card · A. Salabay
Yellow card · A. Chachua39'
43'Yellow card · A. Tahiri
45+1'Yellow card · R. Kostyshyn

Half-time0 - 2

Second half

46'Substitution · O. Demchenko ⇄ D. Khrypchuk
46'Substitution · A. Tahiri ⇄ Y. Klymchuk
Yellow card · N. Rusyn51'
Substitution · J. Sery ⇄ Joaquinete56'
60'Substitution · I. Kane ⇄ D. Ndukve
69'Substitution · A. Rrapaj ⇄ I. Kasalla
Substitution · X. Alkain ⇄ D. Miroshnichenko75'
Substitution · Fellipe Vieira ⇄ M. Sapuga75'
77'Substitution · E. Kozik ⇄ D. Denysenko
Substitution · N. Rusyn ⇄ Y. Karabin90+2'

What we announced

5/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 3.5 goals78%held
Draw or Karpaty ahead at half-time77%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-2 at half-time, 9′ Karpaty, 20′ Karpaty.
At most 1 goal before half-time70%lost
Over 1.5 goals72%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 9th minute, 2 in total.
Draw or Karpaty71%held
- Karpaty took the lead in the 9th minute and never let it go.
- Karpaty took control early: opening goal in the 9th minute.
Under 2.5 goals55%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableKolos Kovalivka 13th, Karpaty 3rd (Premier League)

During the match

During the match9′ opening goal, Karpaty (0-1)
During the match20′ Karpaty go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2

What it changes

In this league, “Under 3.5 goals” goes from 85% to 85.7% success rate, over 21 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes