Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League (Ukraine) · Ukraine

full time

Friday, 4 September 2026

Match brought forward

Brought forward to Friday 4 September at 16:00. Originally planned for Saturday 5 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Polessya

5-1full timeHT 2–1 · 2H 3–0

Kudrivka

What Janus-12 said

72%

Under 3.5 goals

100% success over 13 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 28 %

A prediction at 72 % fails 28 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 3.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/09, 15:25.

Sealed on 04/09, 16:00announced on 22/08/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

92% success over 13 matches in this league
66%✗
63% success over 186 matches, all leagues
56%✓
62% success over 13 matches in this league
80%✓
47% success over 15 matches in this league
93%✓
33% success over 15 matches in this league
78%✓
0% success over 2 matches in this league
52%✓

Premier League

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Polessya	7	6	0	1	+10	18
2	Shakhtar Donetsk	7	6	0	1	+11	18
3	Karpaty	7	4	2	1	+10	14
4	Dynamo Kyiv	6	4	1	1	+4	13
5	FC Kharkiv	6	4	0	2	+8	12
6	Veres Rivne	7	2	3	2	0	9
7	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	7	2	2	3	-1	8
8	LNZ Cherkasy	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Zorya Luhansk	7	2	2	3	-4	8
10	Livyi Bereh	6	1	4	1	+1	7
11	Bukovyna	7	1	4	2	-2	7
12	Chornomorets	6	1	2	3	-4	5
13	Kolos Kovalivka	6	1	2	3	-4	5
14	Hirnyk	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Obolon'-Brovar	7	0	4	3	-10	4
16	Kudrivka	7	0	2	5	-13	2

What we announced

5/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 3.5 goals72%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 1st minute, 6 in total.
At most 1 goal before half-time66%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 1′ Polessya, 42′ Polessya, 45′ Kudrivka.
Polessya ahead at half-time56%held
Over 1.5 goals80%held
Polessya or draw93%held
- Kudrivka played 79 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 11th minute.
- Polessya took control early: opening goal in the 1st minute.
Polessya to win78%held
Over 2.5 goals52%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePolessya 1st, Kudrivka 16th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match1′ opening goal, Polessya (1-0)
During the match11′ sending-off, Kudrivka (B. Veklyak)
During the match42′ Polessya go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match87′ last goal, Polessya
Line-up87′ the goal came off the bench: Leandro Andrade (Polessya)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 3.5 goals” goes from 100% to 92.9% success rate, over 14 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Polessya on the left, Kudrivka on the right.

First half

1'Goal · V. Veleten (assist : G. Maisuradze)
Red card · B. Veklyak11'
13'Yellow card · O. Andriyevski
42'Own goal · A. Dumanyuk
Goal · R. Verley (assist : Y. Pasich)45+2'

Half-time2 - 1

Second half

Substitution · R. Owusu ⇄ D. Svityukha46'
46'Substitution · O. Andriyevski ⇄ L. Emerllahu
46'Substitution · O. Nazarenko ⇄ Leandro Andrade
66'Substitution · M. Gayduchyk ⇄ I. Krasnopir
67'Substitution · M. Bragaru ⇄ O. Fedor
Substitution · R. Verley ⇄ S. Sten67'
Substitution · Y. Smyrnyi ⇄ K. Makosso67'
Yellow card · M. Ogarkov67'
71'Penalty goal · I. Krasnopir
75'Substitution · B. Mykhaylichenko ⇄ D. Gryshkevych
76'Goal · I. Krasnopir (assist : L. Emerllahu)
Substitution · O. Belyaev ⇄ O. O. Yushchenko78'
Substitution · A. Dumanyuk ⇄ K. Sigeev78'
82'Yellow card · I. Krasniqi
87'Goal · Leandro Andrade (assist : L. Emerllahu)

What we announced

5/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 3.5 goals72%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 1st minute, 6 in total.
At most 1 goal before half-time66%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 1′ Polessya, 42′ Polessya, 45′ Kudrivka.
Polessya ahead at half-time56%held
Over 1.5 goals80%held
Polessya or draw93%held
- Kudrivka played 79 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 11th minute.
- Polessya took control early: opening goal in the 1st minute.
Polessya to win78%held
Over 2.5 goals52%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePolessya 1st, Kudrivka 16th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match1′ opening goal, Polessya (1-0)
During the match11′ sending-off, Kudrivka (B. Veklyak)
During the match42′ Polessya go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match87′ last goal, Polessya
Line-up87′ the goal came off the bench: Leandro Andrade (Polessya)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 3.5 goals” goes from 100% to 92.9% success rate, over 14 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes