Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League (Ukraine) · Ukraine

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 5 September at 11:00. Originally planned for Saturday 5 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Hirnyk

2–2full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 1–1

Kolos Kovalivka

What Janus-12 said

76%

Under 3.5 goals

93% success over 14 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 24 %

A prediction at 76 % fails 24 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 3.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/09, 08:34.

Sealed on 05/09, 11:00announced on 22/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

86% success over 14 matches in this league
69%✗
77% success over 13 matches in this league
68%✓
64% success over 14 matches in this league
71%✓
55% success over 11 matches in this league
56%✗
50% success over 16 matches in this league
71%✓

Premier League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Polessya	7	6	0	1	+10	18
2	Shakhtar Donetsk	7	6	0	1	+11	18
3	Karpaty	7	4	2	1	+10	14
4	Dynamo Kyiv	6	4	1	1	+4	13
5	FC Kharkiv	6	4	0	2	+8	12
6	Veres Rivne	7	2	3	2	0	9
7	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	7	2	2	3	-1	8
8	LNZ Cherkasy	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Zorya Luhansk	7	2	2	3	-4	8
10	Livyi Bereh	6	1	4	1	+1	7
11	Bukovyna	7	1	4	2	-2	7
12	Chornomorets	6	1	2	3	-4	5
13	Kolos Kovalivka	6	1	2	3	-4	5
14	Hirnyk	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Obolon'-Brovar	7	0	4	3	-10	4
16	Kudrivka	7	0	2	5	-13	2

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 3.5 goals76%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time69%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 28′ Hirnyk, 38′ Kolos Kovalivka.
Draw or Kolos Kovalivka ahead at half-time68%held
Over 1.5 goals71%held
Under 2.5 goals56%lost
Hirnyk or draw71%held
- Kolos Kovalivka played 10 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 80th minute.
- Hirnyk were never behind.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableHirnyk 14th, Kolos Kovalivka 13th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match28′ opening goal, Hirnyk (1-0)
During the match38′ equaliser, Kolos Kovalivka (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match66′ Hirnyk retake the lead (2-1)
During the match80′ sending-off, Kolos Kovalivka (Z. Rukhadze)
During the match90′ equaliser, Kolos Kovalivka (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 3.5 goals” goes from 92.9% to 86.7% success rate, over 15 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Hirnyk on the left, Kolos Kovalivka on the right.

First half

28'Goal · Y. Shevchenko Volodymyrovych
32'Yellow card · Y. Rivas
Yellow card · E. Kozik32'
Goal · Y. Klymchuk (assist : A. Salabay)38'

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

Substitution · I. Kane ⇄ I. Kasalla46'
Yellow card · Z. Rukhadze55'
Yellow card · O. Savchuk57'
63'Substitution · V. Mulyk ⇄ A. Seck
63'Substitution · D. Pidgurskyi ⇄ O. Kamenskyi
66'Goal · V. Vilivald (assist : G. Herbert)
Substitution · O. Demchenko ⇄ D. Khrypchuk74'
Substitution · Y. Klymchuk ⇄ D. Ndukve74'
75'Yellow card · R. Nawi
77'Yellow card · A. Seck
Yellow card · Z. Rukhadze80'
Red card · Z. Rukhadze80'
Yellow card · I. Pakholyuk82'
83'Substitution · Thiago Borges ⇄ S. Cuiza
Substitution · A. Rrapaj ⇄ A. Tahiri84'
Substitution · A. Salabay ⇄ D. Denysenko84'
89'Substitution · Y. Rivas ⇄ M. Bodnar
Goal · A. Tahiri (assist : D. Khrypchuk)90+1'

What we announced

3/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 3.5 goals76%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time69%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 28′ Hirnyk, 38′ Kolos Kovalivka.
Draw or Kolos Kovalivka ahead at half-time68%held
Over 1.5 goals71%held
Under 2.5 goals56%lost
Hirnyk or draw71%held
- Kolos Kovalivka played 10 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 80th minute.
- Hirnyk were never behind.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableHirnyk 14th, Kolos Kovalivka 13th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match28′ opening goal, Hirnyk (1-0)
During the match38′ equaliser, Kolos Kovalivka (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match66′ Hirnyk retake the lead (2-1)
During the match80′ sending-off, Kolos Kovalivka (Z. Rukhadze)
During the match90′ equaliser, Kolos Kovalivka (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 3.5 goals” goes from 92.9% to 86.7% success rate, over 15 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes