Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League (Ukraine) · Ukraine

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Karpaty

1–2full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 0–1

Shakhtar Donetsk

What Janus-12 said

69%

Under 3.5 goals

81% success over 16 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Under 3.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/09, 15:25.

Sealed on 05/09, 16:00announced on 22/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

75% success over 16 matches in this league
65%✗
73% success over 15 matches in this league
77%✓
69% success over 16 matches in this league
81%✓
56% success over 18 matches in this league
81%✓
39% success over 18 matches in this league
57%✓
33% success over 3 matches in this league
55%✓

Premier League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Polessya	7	6	0	1	+10	18
2	Shakhtar Donetsk	7	6	0	1	+11	18
3	Karpaty	7	4	2	1	+10	14
4	Dynamo Kyiv	6	4	1	1	+4	13
5	FC Kharkiv	6	4	0	2	+8	12
6	Veres Rivne	7	2	3	2	0	9
7	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	7	2	2	3	-1	8
8	LNZ Cherkasy	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Zorya Luhansk	7	2	2	3	-4	8
10	Livyi Bereh	6	1	4	1	+1	7
11	Bukovyna	7	1	4	2	-2	7
12	Chornomorets	6	1	2	3	-4	5
13	Kolos Kovalivka	6	1	2	3	-4	5
14	Hirnyk	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Obolon'-Brovar	7	0	4	3	-10	4
16	Kudrivka	7	0	2	5	-13	2

What we announced

6/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 3.5 goals69%held
At most 1 goal before half-time65%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 12′ Karpaty, 25′ Shakhtar Donetsk.
Draw or Shakhtar Donetsk ahead at half-time77%held
Over 1.5 goals81%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 12th minute, 3 in total.
Draw or Shakhtar Donetsk81%held
- Shakhtar Donetsk took control early: opening goal in the 25th minute.
Shakhtar Donetsk to win57%held
Over 2.5 goals55%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableKarpaty 3rd, Shakhtar Donetsk 2nd (Premier League)

During the match

During the match12′ opening goal, Karpaty (1-0)
During the match25′ equaliser, Shakhtar Donetsk (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match67′ turnaround, Shakhtar Donetsk go ahead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 3.5 goals” goes from 81.3% to 82.4% success rate, over 17 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Karpaty on the left, Shakhtar Donetsk on the right.

First half

12'Goal · N. Rusyn (assist : I. Calero)
22'Yellow card · Moha Moukhliss
Goal · Luca Meirelles25'
Yellow card · V. Bondar34'

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

Yellow card · Newerton55'
59'Substitution · Fellipe Vieira ⇄ J. Sery
Substitution · Luca Meirelles ⇄ Kaua Elias64'
Substitution · Y. Nazaryna ⇄ Isaque Silva64'
Substitution · Newerton ⇄ G. Mendoza64'
Goal · Alisson (assist : Isaque Silva)67'
Substitution · Alisson ⇄ Lucas Ferreira70'
79'Substitution · I. Calero ⇄ B. Iglesias Lois
79'Substitution · R. Vantukh ⇄ D. Miroshnichenko
79'Substitution · N. Rusyn ⇄ Joaquinete
Yellow card · Lucas Ferreira81'
88'Substitution · X. Alkain ⇄ Y. Karabin
Substitution · Marlon ⇄ D. Kryskiv90+2'

What we announced

6/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 3.5 goals69%held
At most 1 goal before half-time65%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 12′ Karpaty, 25′ Shakhtar Donetsk.
Draw or Shakhtar Donetsk ahead at half-time77%held
Over 1.5 goals81%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 12th minute, 3 in total.
Draw or Shakhtar Donetsk81%held
- Shakhtar Donetsk took control early: opening goal in the 25th minute.
Shakhtar Donetsk to win57%held
Over 2.5 goals55%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableKarpaty 3rd, Shakhtar Donetsk 2nd (Premier League)

During the match

During the match12′ opening goal, Karpaty (1-0)
During the match25′ equaliser, Shakhtar Donetsk (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match67′ turnaround, Shakhtar Donetsk go ahead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 3.5 goals” goes from 81.3% to 82.4% success rate, over 17 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes