Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League (Ukraine) · Ukraine

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 5 September at 11:00. Originally planned for Saturday 5 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

FC Kharkiv

5–0full timeHT 5–0 · 2H 0–0

Obolon'-Brovar

What Janus-12 said

81%

Under 3.5 goals

93% success over 14 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 19 %

A prediction at 81 % fails 19 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 3.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/09, 08:34.

Sealed on 05/09, 11:00announced on 22/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

86% success over 14 matches in this league
73%✗
77% success over 13 matches in this league
61%✗
64% success over 14 matches in this league
68%✓
55% success over 11 matches in this league
58%✗
50% success over 16 matches in this league
80%✓
38% success over 16 matches in this league
54%✓

Premier League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Polessya	7	6	0	1	+10	18
2	Shakhtar Donetsk	7	6	0	1	+11	18
3	Karpaty	7	4	2	1	+10	14
4	Dynamo Kyiv	6	4	1	1	+4	13
5	FC Kharkiv	6	4	0	2	+8	12
6	Veres Rivne	7	2	3	2	0	9
7	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	7	2	2	3	-1	8
8	LNZ Cherkasy	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Zorya Luhansk	7	2	2	3	-4	8
10	Livyi Bereh	6	1	4	1	+1	7
11	Bukovyna	7	1	4	2	-2	7
12	Chornomorets	6	1	2	3	-4	5
13	Kolos Kovalivka	6	1	2	3	-4	5
14	Hirnyk	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Obolon'-Brovar	7	0	4	3	-10	4
16	Kudrivka	7	0	2	5	-13	2

What we announced

3/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 3.5 goals81%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 7th minute, 5 in total.
At most 1 goal before half-time73%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 5-0 at half-time, 7′ FC Kharkiv, 8′ FC Kharkiv, 15′ FC Kharkiv, 24′ FC Kharkiv, 45′ FC Kharkiv.
Draw or Obolon'-Brovar ahead at half-time61%lost
Over 1.5 goals68%held
Under 2.5 goals58%lost
FC Kharkiv or draw80%held
- Obolon'-Brovar played 83 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 7th minute.
- FC Kharkiv took the lead in the 7th minute and never let it go.
FC Kharkiv to win54%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFC Kharkiv 5th, Obolon'-Brovar 15th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match7′ opening goal, FC Kharkiv (1-0)
During the match7′ sending-off, Obolon'-Brovar (R. Volokhatyi)
During the match8′ FC Kharkiv go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 5-0

What it changes

In this league, “Under 3.5 goals” goes from 92.9% to 86.7% success rate, over 15 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

FC Kharkiv on the left, Obolon'-Brovar on the right.

First half

Yellow card · R. Volokhatyi2'
Yellow card · R. Volokhatyi7'
Red card · R. Volokhatyi7'
7'Penalty goal · P. Itodo
8'Goal · C. Paraco (assist : B. Zabergja)
15'Goal · B. Zabergja (assist : P. Itodo)
24'Goal · I. Krupskyi (assist : R. Gadzhyev)
Yellow card · M. Chekh27'
Substitution · A. Matkevych ⇄ T. Moroz29'
Substitution · I. Medynskyi ⇄ O. Serhiyovych Zhovtenko29'
38'Yellow card · P. Itodo
Yellow card · O. Serhiyovych Zhovtenko38'
Yellow card · T. Moroz39'
45+1'Goal · P. Itodo

Half-time5 – 0

Second half

Substitution · M. Chekh ⇄ D. Shostak46'
46'Substitution · P. Itodo ⇄ D. Antyukh
46'Substitution · V. Salyuk ⇄ R. Profini
59'Substitution · B. Zabergja ⇄ S. Castillo
71'Substitution · A. Shabanov ⇄ V. Dubko
71'Substitution · C. Paraco ⇄ J. N. Arevalo Chaparro
Substitution · S. Sukhanov ⇄ D. Ustymenko73'
Substitution · A. Shulyanskyi ⇄ Y. Shevchenko81'

What we announced

3/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 3.5 goals81%lost
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 7th minute, 5 in total.
At most 1 goal before half-time73%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 5-0 at half-time, 7′ FC Kharkiv, 8′ FC Kharkiv, 15′ FC Kharkiv, 24′ FC Kharkiv, 45′ FC Kharkiv.
Draw or Obolon'-Brovar ahead at half-time61%lost
Over 1.5 goals68%held
Under 2.5 goals58%lost
FC Kharkiv or draw80%held
- Obolon'-Brovar played 83 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 7th minute.
- FC Kharkiv took the lead in the 7th minute and never let it go.
FC Kharkiv to win54%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFC Kharkiv 5th, Obolon'-Brovar 15th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match7′ opening goal, FC Kharkiv (1-0)
During the match7′ sending-off, Obolon'-Brovar (R. Volokhatyi)
During the match8′ FC Kharkiv go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 5-0

What it changes

In this league, “Under 3.5 goals” goes from 92.9% to 86.7% success rate, over 15 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes