Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Superliga (Romania) · Romania

full time

Sunday, 30 August 2026

FCSB

1-3full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 1–2

UTA Arad

What Janus-12 said

75%

FCSB or draw

80% success over 20 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 25 %

A prediction at 75 % fails 25 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: FCSB or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 30/08, 15:40.

Sealed on 29/08, 18:00announced on 15/08/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

71% success over 14 matches in this league
67%✓

Liga I

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Dinamo Bucuresti	10	7	2	1	+16	23
2	FC Rapid Bucuresti	10	6	3	1	+8	21
3	CS Universitatea Craiova	10	6	2	2	+15	20
4	Petrolul	10	6	1	3	+1	19
5	U. Cluj	9	5	0	4	+1	15
6	Farul Constanta	10	3	5	2	0	14
7	Corvinul	10	3	4	3	+2	13
8	CFR Cluj	9	4	1	4	+1	13
9	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe	10	3	4	3	-3	13
10	UTA Arad	10	3	3	4	-1	12
11	FCSB	10	3	3	4	-4	12
12	FC Botosani	10	2	5	3	+2	11
13	FC Arges	10	3	2	5	-4	11
14	Otelul	10	2	4	4	-4	10
15	FC Voluntari	10	2	2	6	-13	8
16	Csikszereda M. Ciuc	10	0	1	9	-17	1

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

FCSB or draw75%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: FCSB had 17 shots against 8, for 1 goal against 3.
- FCSB chased the score almost all match: UTA Arad scored as early as the 26th minute.
Draw or UTA Arad ahead at half-time67%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 26′ UTA Arad.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFCSB 11th, UTA Arad 10th (Liga I)

During the match

During the match26′ opening goal, UTA Arad (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match49′ equaliser, FCSB (1-1)
During the match54′ UTA Arad retake the lead (1-2)
During the match78′ UTA Arad go 2 goals up (1-3)

What it changes

In this league, “FCSB or draw” goes from 80% to 76.2% success rate, over 21 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

FCSB on the left, UTA Arad on the right.

First half

Goal · M. Coman (assist : J. Papeau)26'

Half-time0 - 1

Second half

46'Substitution · A. Garita ⇄ A. Stoian
46'Substitution · A. Boutoutaou ⇄ E. Gnahore
49'Goal · A. Stoian (assist : D. Miculescu)
Goal · H. Abdallah (assist : A. Roman)54'
Substitution · D. Taroi ⇄ M. Tzionis63'
64'Substitution · J. Dawa ⇄ L. Stancu
64'Substitution · O. Arad ⇄ D. Politic
Yellow card · A. Dorobantu66'
Substitution · J. Papeau ⇄ I. Sinani70'
Goal · M. Coman (assist : A. Roman)78'
Substitution · M. Coman ⇄ A. Padula79'
81'Substitution · D. Miculescu ⇄ D. Popa
Yellow card · P. Ouaneh90'

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

FCSB or draw75%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: FCSB had 17 shots against 8, for 1 goal against 3.
- FCSB chased the score almost all match: UTA Arad scored as early as the 26th minute.
Draw or UTA Arad ahead at half-time67%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 26′ UTA Arad.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFCSB 11th, UTA Arad 10th (Liga I)

During the match

During the match26′ opening goal, UTA Arad (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match49′ equaliser, FCSB (1-1)
During the match54′ UTA Arad retake the lead (1-2)
During the match78′ UTA Arad go 2 goals up (1-3)

What it changes

In this league, “FCSB or draw” goes from 80% to 76.2% success rate, over 21 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Liga I

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes