Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

League One (England) · England

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Burton

2–2full timeHT 2–1 · 2H 0–1

Mansfield

What Janus-12 said

74%

Burton or Mansfield

70% success over 61 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 26 %

A prediction at 74 % fails 26 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Burton or Mansfield

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 19/09, 04:50.

Sealed on 19/09, 12:30announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

70% success over 61 matches in this league
68%✗

League One

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Plymouth	9	5	1	3	+5	16
2	Bradford	8	5	1	2	+3	16
3	Huddersfield Town	8	4	3	1	+7	15
4	Sheffield Weds	7	4	2	1	+7	14
5	Stockport	8	4	1	3	+7	13
6	Cambridge	8	3	4	1	+2	13
7	Reading	8	3	3	2	+7	12
8	Burton	9	3	3	3	-1	12
9	AFC Wimbledon	8	3	3	2	-2	12
10	Oxford	6	3	2	1	+6	11
11	Leyton Orient	8	3	1	4	+2	10
12	Wycombe	8	2	4	2	-3	10
13	Stevenage	7	2	3	2	+3	9
14	Leicester City	7	2	3	2	-2	9
15	Blackpool	7	2	2	3	0	8
16	Luton Town	7	2	2	3	-2	8
17	Mansfield	7	2	2	3	-3	8
18	Barnsley	7	2	2	3	-5	8
19	Bromley	7	2	2	3	-10	8
20	Notts County	7	1	4	2	-2	7
21	Doncaster	7	1	3	3	-1	6
22	Milton Keynes Dons	7	0	6	1	-2	6
23	Peterboro	8	1	2	5	-9	5
24	Wigan	7	1	1	5	-7	4

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Burton or Mansfield74%lost
- The two teams managed only 8 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
Draw or Mansfield ahead at half-time68%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 16′ Burton, 28′ Burton, 40′ Mansfield.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBurton 8th, Mansfield 17th (League One)

During the match

During the match16′ opening goal, Burton (1-0)
During the match28′ Burton go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match70′ Mansfield come back from 2 goals down (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Burton or Mansfield” goes from 70.5% to 69.4% success rate, over 62 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Burton on the left, Mansfield on the right.

First half

16'Own goal · Adedeji Oshilaja
Yellow card · Elliott Hewitt21'
Yellow card · Ryan Sweeney23'
28'Goal · Jack Armer (assist : Caylon Vickers)
39'Yellow card · Will Collar
Goal · Michael Smith (assist : Nathan Daniel Moriah-Welsh)40'
Substitution · Elliott Hewitt ⇄ Kyle Knoyle45'

Half-time2 – 1

Second half

Yellow card · Louis Reed49'
Substitution · Liam Thompson ⇄ Rhys Oates53'
Yellow card · Michael Smith59'
Substitution · Michael Smith ⇄ Luke Bolton62'
Substitution · Nathan Daniel Moriah-Welsh ⇄ Lucas Akins62'
62'Substitution · Will Collar ⇄ Sulyman Krubally
63'Substitution · Caylon Vickers ⇄ Matthew Dennis
63'Substitution · H. Araujo ⇄ Kain Adom
Goal · Lucas Akins70'
Substitution · Stephen McLaughlin ⇄ Frazer Blake-Tracy75'
82'Substitution · Raphael Borges Rodrigues ⇄ Emeka Adeile
Yellow card · Frazer Blake-Tracy90+3'

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Burton or Mansfield74%lost
- The two teams managed only 8 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
Draw or Mansfield ahead at half-time68%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 16′ Burton, 28′ Burton, 40′ Mansfield.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBurton 8th, Mansfield 17th (League One)

During the match

During the match16′ opening goal, Burton (1-0)
During the match28′ Burton go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match70′ Mansfield come back from 2 goals down (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Burton or Mansfield” goes from 70.5% to 69.4% success rate, over 62 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

League One

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes