Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

League Two (England) · England

full time

Saturday, 3 October 2026

Rochdale

1–0full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 1–0

Swindon

What Janus-12 said

75%

Rochdale or draw

65% success over 83 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Rochdale or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/10, 00:00.

Sealed on 03/10, 15:00announced on 20/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

League Two

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Salford	9	5	1	3	+3	16
2	Barnet	7	4	3	0	+7	15
3	Crewe	9	3	6	0	+4	15
4	Cheltenham	9	4	3	2	+2	15
5	Bristol Rvs	9	5	0	4	0	15
6	York	8	4	2	2	+6	14
7	Walsall	8	3	5	0	+6	14
8	Chesterfield	9	4	2	3	+3	14
9	Grimsby	9	3	4	2	+3	13
10	Gillingham	9	3	4	2	+2	13
11	Rochdale	9	4	1	4	-1	13
12	Tranmere	9	2	5	2	0	11
13	Swindon	9	3	2	4	-4	11
14	Shrewsbury	9	3	2	4	-5	11
15	Newport County	9	2	4	3	0	10
16	Accrington	9	2	4	3	-1	10
17	Rotherham	9	2	4	3	-1	10
18	Fleetwood Town	9	2	4	3	-1	10
19	Colchester	8	2	4	2	-2	10
20	Exeter	9	2	3	4	-1	9
21	Oldham	8	2	1	5	-4	7
22	Northampton	7	1	3	3	-3	6
23	Port Vale	7	1	2	4	-6	5
24	Crawley Town	7	1	1	5	-7	4

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Rochdale or draw75%held
- Swindon played 5 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 85th minute.
- Rochdale took the lead in the 88th minute and never let it go.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRochdale 11th, Swindon 13th (League Two)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match85′ sending-off, Swindon (Kaelan Majekodunmi)
During the match88′ opening goal, Rochdale (1-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Rochdale or draw” goes from 65.1% to 65.5% success rate, over 84 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Rochdale on the left, Swindon on the right.

First half

23'Substitution · Jonny Smith ⇄ Luke Hannant

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

Substitution · Tom Nichols ⇄ Ollie Clarke69'
72'Substitution · Luke Hannant ⇄ Cian Hayes
73'Substitution · Edward Francis ⇄ Emmanuel Dieseruvwe
Yellow card · Kaelan Majekodunmi81'
Substitution · Aaron Drinan ⇄ Joseph Hungbo83'
Red card · Kaelan Majekodunmi85'
88'Goal · Cian Hayes (assist : Aden Flint)
Substitution · Billy Kirkman ⇄ Daniel Butterworth90+2'
Substitution · Jack Thomson ⇄ Louis Millard90+2'

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Rochdale or draw75%held
- Swindon played 5 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 85th minute.
- Rochdale took the lead in the 88th minute and never let it go.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRochdale 11th, Swindon 13th (League Two)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match85′ sending-off, Swindon (Kaelan Majekodunmi)
During the match88′ opening goal, Rochdale (1-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Rochdale or draw” goes from 65.1% to 65.5% success rate, over 84 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

League Two

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes