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Janus-12

League Two (England) · England

full time

Saturday, 3 October 2026

Grimsby

1–2full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 1–1

Shrewsbury

What Janus-12 said

78%

Grimsby or draw

65% success over 83 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 22 %

A prediction at 78 % fails 22 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Grimsby or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/10, 00:00.

Sealed on 03/10, 15:00announced on 20/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

39% success over 83 matches in this league
54%✗

League Two

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Salford	9	5	1	3	+3	16
2	Barnet	7	4	3	0	+7	15
3	Crewe	9	3	6	0	+4	15
4	Cheltenham	9	4	3	2	+2	15
5	Bristol Rvs	9	5	0	4	0	15
6	York	8	4	2	2	+6	14
7	Walsall	8	3	5	0	+6	14
8	Chesterfield	9	4	2	3	+3	14
9	Grimsby	9	3	4	2	+3	13
10	Gillingham	9	3	4	2	+2	13
11	Rochdale	9	4	1	4	-1	13
12	Tranmere	9	2	5	2	0	11
13	Swindon	9	3	2	4	-4	11
14	Shrewsbury	9	3	2	4	-5	11
15	Newport County	9	2	4	3	0	10
16	Accrington	9	2	4	3	-1	10
17	Rotherham	9	2	4	3	-1	10
18	Fleetwood Town	9	2	4	3	-1	10
19	Colchester	8	2	4	2	-2	10
20	Exeter	9	2	3	4	-1	9
21	Oldham	8	2	1	5	-4	7
22	Northampton	7	1	3	3	-3	6
23	Port Vale	7	1	2	4	-6	5
24	Crawley Town	7	1	1	5	-7	4

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Grimsby or draw78%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Grimsby had 21 shots against 9, for 1 goal against 2.
- Grimsby chased the score almost all match: Shrewsbury scored as early as the 19th minute.
Grimsby to win54%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableGrimsby 9th, Shrewsbury 14th (League Two)

During the match

During the match19′ opening goal, Shrewsbury (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match60′ Shrewsbury go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match75′ last goal, Grimsby

What it changes

In this league, “Grimsby or draw” goes from 65.1% to 64.3% success rate, over 84 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Grimsby on the left, Shrewsbury on the right.

First half

Goal · George Lloyd (assist : William Boyle)19'
Yellow card · Kevin Berkoe26'

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

Yellow card · Isaac Fletcher50'
Yellow card · Kian McMahon-Brown56'
58'Yellow card · Cian Doyle
Goal · Kian McMahon-Brown (assist : William Boyle)60'
61'Substitution · Charles Vernam ⇄ Iwan Morgan
61'Substitution · Cian Doyle ⇄ Finn Cartwright
Yellow card · Josh Ruffels74'
75'Goal · Finn Cartwright (assist : Iwan Morgan)
Yellow card · George Lloyd75'
Substitution · Isaac Fletcher ⇄ Josh Davison80'
Substitution · J. Turner-Cook ⇄ will gray80'
90'Substitution · Jamie Walker ⇄ Ryley Reynolds
90'Substitution · Andy Cook ⇄ Sonny Finch
Yellow card · Josh Davison90+4'

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Grimsby or draw78%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Grimsby had 21 shots against 9, for 1 goal against 2.
- Grimsby chased the score almost all match: Shrewsbury scored as early as the 19th minute.
Grimsby to win54%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableGrimsby 9th, Shrewsbury 14th (League Two)

During the match

During the match19′ opening goal, Shrewsbury (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match60′ Shrewsbury go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match75′ last goal, Grimsby

What it changes

In this league, “Grimsby or draw” goes from 65.1% to 64.3% success rate, over 84 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

League Two

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes