Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

League Two (England) · England

full time

Saturday, 3 October 2026

Chesterfield

4–2full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 3–2

Tranmere

What Janus-12 said

76%

Chesterfield or draw

65% success over 82 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Chesterfield or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/10, 00:00.

Sealed on 03/10, 12:30announced on 20/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

38% success over 82 matches in this league
51%✓

League Two

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Salford	9	5	1	3	+3	16
2	Barnet	7	4	3	0	+7	15
3	Crewe	9	3	6	0	+4	15
4	Cheltenham	9	4	3	2	+2	15
5	Bristol Rvs	9	5	0	4	0	15
6	York	8	4	2	2	+6	14
7	Walsall	8	3	5	0	+6	14
8	Chesterfield	9	4	2	3	+3	14
9	Grimsby	9	3	4	2	+3	13
10	Gillingham	9	3	4	2	+2	13
11	Rochdale	9	4	1	4	-1	13
12	Tranmere	9	2	5	2	0	11
13	Swindon	9	3	2	4	-4	11
14	Shrewsbury	9	3	2	4	-5	11
15	Newport County	9	2	4	3	0	10
16	Accrington	9	2	4	3	-1	10
17	Rotherham	9	2	4	3	-1	10
18	Fleetwood Town	9	2	4	3	-1	10
19	Colchester	8	2	4	2	-2	10
20	Exeter	9	2	3	4	-1	9
21	Oldham	8	2	1	5	-4	7
22	Northampton	7	1	3	3	-3	6
23	Port Vale	7	1	2	4	-6	5
24	Crawley Town	7	1	1	5	-7	4

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Chesterfield or draw76%held
- Chesterfield took the lead in the 83rd minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 10 shots on target for Chesterfield against 3.
Chesterfield to win51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableChesterfield 8th, Tranmere 12th (League Two)

During the match

During the match15′ opening goal, Chesterfield (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match59′ equaliser, Tranmere (1-1)
During the match83′ Chesterfield retake the lead (2-1)
During the match85′ Chesterfield go 2 goals up (3-1)
During the match90′ last goal, Tranmere

What it changes

In this league, “Chesterfield or draw” goes from 64.6% to 65.1% success rate, over 83 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Chesterfield on the left, Tranmere on the right.

First half

10'Yellow card · Paul Anthony Cook
15'Goal · Dilan Markanday (assist : Remeao Hutton)
Yellow card · Tom Conlon18'
21'Yellow card · Lee Bonis
Substitution · Zane Okoro ⇄ dylan jones34'
Yellow card · Joe Ironside41'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

54'Yellow card · George McEachran
Yellow card · Joel Senior57'
Goal · dylan jones (assist : Thomas Ince)59'
Substitution · Joe Ironside ⇄ David Kamara61'
Substitution · Tom Conlon ⇄ Sam Finley61'
71'Substitution · Joel Randall ⇄ Josh Koroma
79'Yellow card · Kyle McFadzean
83'Goal · Louie Marsh (assist : Dilan Markanday)
85'Goal · Josh Koroma (assist : Louie Marsh)
87'Substitution · Lewis Gordon ⇄ Tom Pearce
87'Substitution · Remeao Hutton ⇄ Junior Eccleston
88'Substitution · George McEachran ⇄ Kiano Dyer
88'Substitution · Louie Marsh ⇄ Liam Mandeville
90+1'Goal · Josh Koroma (assist : Lee Bonis)
Goal · Jacob Slater (assist : Sam Finley)90+4'

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Chesterfield or draw76%held
- Chesterfield took the lead in the 83rd minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 10 shots on target for Chesterfield against 3.
Chesterfield to win51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableChesterfield 8th, Tranmere 12th (League Two)

During the match

During the match15′ opening goal, Chesterfield (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match59′ equaliser, Tranmere (1-1)
During the match83′ Chesterfield retake the lead (2-1)
During the match85′ Chesterfield go 2 goals up (3-1)
During the match90′ last goal, Tranmere

What it changes

In this league, “Chesterfield or draw” goes from 64.6% to 65.1% success rate, over 83 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 784,103 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

League Two

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes