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Janus-12

League Two (England) · England

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Colchester

1-1full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 1–1

Cheltenham

What Janus-12 said

72%

Colchester or Cheltenham

66% success over 62 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 28 %

A prediction at 72 % fails 28 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Colchester or Cheltenham

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 19/09, 04:54.

Sealed on 19/09, 15:00announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

League Two

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Salford	9	5	1	3	+3	16
2	Barnet	7	4	3	0	+7	15
3	Crewe	9	3	6	0	+4	15
4	Cheltenham	9	4	3	2	+2	15
5	Bristol Rvs	9	5	0	4	0	15
6	York	8	4	2	2	+6	14
7	Walsall	8	3	5	0	+6	14
8	Chesterfield	9	4	2	3	+3	14
9	Grimsby	9	3	4	2	+3	13
10	Gillingham	9	3	4	2	+2	13
11	Rochdale	9	4	1	4	-1	13
12	Tranmere	9	2	5	2	0	11
13	Swindon	9	3	2	4	-4	11
14	Shrewsbury	9	3	2	4	-5	11
15	Newport County	9	2	4	3	0	10
16	Accrington	9	2	4	3	-1	10
17	Rotherham	9	2	4	3	-1	10
18	Fleetwood Town	9	2	4	3	-1	10
19	Colchester	8	2	4	2	-2	10
20	Exeter	9	2	3	4	-1	9
21	Oldham	8	2	1	5	-4	7
22	Northampton	7	1	3	3	-3	6
23	Port Vale	7	1	2	4	-6	5
24	Crawley Town	7	1	1	5	-7	4

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Colchester or Cheltenham72%lost
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 83rd minute, on the Colchester side.
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableColchester 19th, Cheltenham 4th (League Two)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match66′ opening goal, Colchester (1-0)
During the match78′ equaliser, Cheltenham (1-1)
During the match83′ sending-off, Colchester (Jaden Williams)

What it changes

In this league, “Colchester or Cheltenham” goes from 66.1% to 65.1% success rate, over 63 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Colchester on the left, Cheltenham on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Shaun McWilliams10'
Yellow card · Jake Evans18'
28'Yellow card · Oscar thorn

Half-time0 - 0

Second half

66'Goal · Moses Sesay (assist : Ellis Iandolo)
69'Substitution · Oscar thorn ⇄ Jaden Williams
Substitution · Shaun McWilliams ⇄ Freddie willcox74'
Substitution · Jake Evans ⇄ Ryan Broom74'
76'Yellow card · Harry Anderson
Penalty goal · Andreas Weimann78'
83'Red card · Jaden Williams
84'Yellow card · Ellis Iandolo
Yellow card · Jonathan Tomkinson85'
Substitution · Andreas Weimann ⇄ K. Otchere89'
89'Substitution · Harry Anderson ⇄ Leon Chiwome
Yellow card · Charlie McCann90+2'

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Colchester or Cheltenham72%lost
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 83rd minute, on the Colchester side.
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableColchester 19th, Cheltenham 4th (League Two)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match66′ opening goal, Colchester (1-0)
During the match78′ equaliser, Cheltenham (1-1)
During the match83′ sending-off, Colchester (Jaden Williams)

What it changes

In this league, “Colchester or Cheltenham” goes from 66.1% to 65.1% success rate, over 63 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

League Two

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes