Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Championship (England) · England

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 20 September at 13:30. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 15:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Norwich City

3–4full timeHT 2–2 · 2H 1–2

Bolton

What Janus-12 said

76%

Norwich City or Bolton

70% success over 84 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Norwich City or Bolton

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 06:04.

Sealed on 20/09, 13:30announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

37% success over 84 matches in this league
52%✗

Championship

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Swansea City	8	5	2	1	+7	17
2	West Ham United	8	4	3	1	+11	15
3	Middlesbrough	8	4	3	1	+4	15
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	West Bromwich Albion	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	QPR	8	3	4	1	+3	13
7	Stoke City	8	4	1	3	+1	13
8	Bristol City	8	4	1	3	-1	13
9	Charlton	8	3	3	2	-3	12
10	Birmingham	8	2	5	1	+1	11
11	Millwall	8	3	2	3	0	11
12	Lincoln	8	3	2	3	-1	11
13	Southampton	8	4	2	2	+9	10
14	Wrexham	8	2	4	2	-3	10
15	Bolton	8	3	1	4	-4	10
16	Blackburn	8	2	3	3	0	9
17	Norwich City	8	3	0	5	-1	9
18	Sheffield United	8	2	3	3	-2	9
19	Portsmouth	7	2	2	3	-1	8
20	Watford	8	2	2	4	-3	8
21	Cardiff City	8	1	4	3	-2	7
22	Derby	8	1	2	5	-7	5
23	Preston	8	1	1	6	-7	4
24	Burnley	8	0	4	4	-8	4

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Norwich City or Bolton76%held
Norwich City to win52%lost
- Norwich City chased the score almost all match: Bolton scored as early as the 8th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Norwich City had 10 shots against 8, for 3 goals against 4.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableNorwich City 17th, Bolton 15th (Championship)

During the match

During the match5′ opening goal, Norwich City (1-0)
During the match8′ equaliser, Bolton (1-1)
During the match19′ Norwich City retake the lead (2-1)
During the match42′ equaliser, Bolton (2-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-2
During the match47′ turnaround, Bolton go ahead (2-3)
During the match61′ equaliser, Norwich City (3-3)
During the match72′ turnaround, Bolton go ahead (3-4)

What it changes

In this league, “Norwich City or Bolton” goes from 70.2% to 70.6% success rate, over 85 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Norwich City on the left, Bolton on the right.

First half

5'Goal · Mohamed Toure (assist : Andre Brooks)
Goal · Thierry Gale (assist : Ruben Rodrigues)8'
15'Substitution · Mohamed Toure ⇄ J. Makama
19'Goal · Ruairi McConville (assist : Oscar Schwartau)
Goal · Gaizka Larrazabal (assist : Max Conway)42'

Half-time2 – 2

Second half

Goal · Sam Dalby (assist : Kyliane Dong)47'
59'Substitution · Oscar Schwartau ⇄ Jacob Wright
59'Substitution · Anthony Musaba ⇄ Paris Maghoma
61'Goal · Jack Stacey (assist : Paris Maghoma)
Substitution · Kyliane Dong ⇄ Samuel Iling70'
Substitution · Ruben Rodrigues ⇄ Atsuki Ito70'
Goal · Atsuki Ito (assist : Samuel Iling)72'
82'Substitution · Andre Brooks ⇄ Ante Crnac
Substitution · Gaizka Larrazabal ⇄ Xavier Simons83'
Substitution · Sam Dalby ⇄ Thelonius Bair90+2'

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Norwich City or Bolton76%held
Norwich City to win52%lost
- Norwich City chased the score almost all match: Bolton scored as early as the 8th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Norwich City had 10 shots against 8, for 3 goals against 4.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableNorwich City 17th, Bolton 15th (Championship)

During the match

During the match5′ opening goal, Norwich City (1-0)
During the match8′ equaliser, Bolton (1-1)
During the match19′ Norwich City retake the lead (2-1)
During the match42′ equaliser, Bolton (2-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-2
During the match47′ turnaround, Bolton go ahead (2-3)
During the match61′ equaliser, Norwich City (3-3)
During the match72′ turnaround, Bolton go ahead (3-4)

What it changes

In this league, “Norwich City or Bolton” goes from 70.2% to 70.6% success rate, over 85 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Championship

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes