Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Championship (England) · England

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Lincoln

1–2full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–2

Swansea City

What Janus-12 said

74%

Lincoln or draw

74% success over 78 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 26 %

A prediction at 74 % fails 26 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Lincoln or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 00:34.

Sealed on 19/09, 15:00announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Championship

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Swansea City	8	5	2	1	+7	17
2	West Ham United	8	4	3	1	+11	15
3	Middlesbrough	8	4	3	1	+4	15
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	West Bromwich Albion	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	QPR	8	3	4	1	+3	13
7	Stoke City	8	4	1	3	+1	13
8	Bristol City	8	4	1	3	-1	13
9	Charlton	8	3	3	2	-3	12
10	Birmingham	8	2	5	1	+1	11
11	Millwall	8	3	2	3	0	11
12	Lincoln	8	3	2	3	-1	11
13	Southampton	8	4	2	2	+9	10
14	Wrexham	8	2	4	2	-3	10
15	Bolton	8	3	1	4	-4	10
16	Blackburn	8	2	3	3	0	9
17	Norwich City	8	3	0	5	-1	9
18	Sheffield United	8	2	3	3	-2	9
19	Portsmouth	7	2	2	3	-1	8
20	Watford	8	2	2	4	-3	8
21	Cardiff City	8	1	4	3	-2	7
22	Derby	8	1	2	5	-7	5
23	Preston	8	1	1	6	-7	4
24	Burnley	8	0	4	4	-8	4

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Lincoln or draw74%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Lincoln had 13 shots against 10, for 1 goal against 2.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLincoln 12th, Swansea City 1st (Championship)

During the match

During the match39′ opening goal, Lincoln (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match47′ equaliser, Swansea City (1-1)
During the match51′ turnaround, Swansea City go ahead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Lincoln or draw” goes from 74.4% to 73.4% success rate, over 79 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Lincoln on the left, Swansea City on the right.

First half

6'Yellow card · Ben House
25'Yellow card · Ryley Towler
39'Penalty goal · Reeco Hackett-Fairchild

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Goal · Moussa Kounfolo Yeo (assist : melker widell)47'
Goal · Stephen Eustáquio (assist : Filip Lissah)51'
Substitution · Adam Idah ⇄ Zan Vipotnik60'
Substitution · Moussa Kounfolo Yeo ⇄ Ronald Pereira Martins60'
Substitution · Elijah Just ⇄ Joseph Amankwaah Opoku60'
64'Substitution · Adam Reach ⇄ Chiedozie Ogbene
64'Substitution · Conor McGrandles ⇄ Yunus Konak
64'Substitution · Ben House ⇄ Mikkel Ladefoged
Substitution · Stephen Eustáquio ⇄ Goncalo Franco77'
77'Substitution · Ryley Towler ⇄ Robert Nicholas Street
Substitution · Stephen Welsh ⇄ Jenson Seelt82'
84'Yellow card · C. Cohen
Yellow card · Filip Lissah90'

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Lincoln or draw74%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Lincoln had 13 shots against 10, for 1 goal against 2.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLincoln 12th, Swansea City 1st (Championship)

During the match

During the match39′ opening goal, Lincoln (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match47′ equaliser, Swansea City (1-1)
During the match51′ turnaround, Swansea City go ahead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Lincoln or draw” goes from 74.4% to 73.4% success rate, over 79 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Championship

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes