Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Championship (England) · England

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Birmingham

2–2full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 2–1

Middlesbrough

What Janus-12 said

71%

Birmingham or Middlesbrough

74% success over 78 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 29 %

A prediction at 71 % fails 29 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Birmingham or Middlesbrough

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 00:34.

Sealed on 19/09, 15:00announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Championship

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Swansea City	8	5	2	1	+7	17
2	West Ham United	8	4	3	1	+11	15
3	Middlesbrough	8	4	3	1	+4	15
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	West Bromwich Albion	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	QPR	8	3	4	1	+3	13
7	Stoke City	8	4	1	3	+1	13
8	Bristol City	8	4	1	3	-1	13
9	Charlton	8	3	3	2	-3	12
10	Birmingham	8	2	5	1	+1	11
11	Millwall	8	3	2	3	0	11
12	Lincoln	8	3	2	3	-1	11
13	Southampton	8	4	2	2	+9	10
14	Wrexham	8	2	4	2	-3	10
15	Bolton	8	3	1	4	-4	10
16	Blackburn	8	2	3	3	0	9
17	Norwich City	8	3	0	5	-1	9
18	Sheffield United	8	2	3	3	-2	9
19	Portsmouth	7	2	2	3	-1	8
20	Watford	8	2	2	4	-3	8
21	Cardiff City	8	1	4	3	-2	7
22	Derby	8	1	2	5	-7	5
23	Preston	8	1	1	6	-7	4
24	Burnley	8	0	4	4	-8	4

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Birmingham or Middlesbrough71%lost
- The two teams managed only 9 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBirmingham 10th, Middlesbrough 3rd (Championship)

During the match

During the match45′ opening goal, Middlesbrough (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match55′ equaliser, Birmingham (1-1)
During the match59′ turnaround, Birmingham go ahead (2-1)
During the match88′ equaliser, Middlesbrough (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Birmingham or Middlesbrough” goes from 74.4% to 73.4% success rate, over 79 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Birmingham on the left, Middlesbrough on the right.

First half

24'Yellow card · Luis Vasquez
Goal · Max Arfsten (assist : Amario Cozier-Duberry)45'

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

55'Goal · Liam Millar (assist : Jhon Elmer Solís Romero)
59'Own goal · Riley McGree
Substitution · Myles Peart-Harris ⇄ Tommy Conway63'
Substitution · Riley McGree ⇄ Sebastian Berhalter63'
71'Substitution · Luis Vasquez ⇄ Marvin Ducksch
Substitution · Amario Cozier-Duberry ⇄ Jeremy Sarmiento74'
83'Substitution · Jay Stansfield ⇄ Paik Seung-Ho
Substitution · Max Arfsten ⇄ Neto Borges86'
Substitution · Ashley Phillips ⇄ Kyle Joseph86'
Goal · A.Malanda88'
88'Yellow card · Phil Neumann
90+1'Substitution · Carlos Vicente ⇄ Patrick Roberts

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Birmingham or Middlesbrough71%lost
- The two teams managed only 9 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBirmingham 10th, Middlesbrough 3rd (Championship)

During the match

During the match45′ opening goal, Middlesbrough (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match55′ equaliser, Birmingham (1-1)
During the match59′ turnaround, Birmingham go ahead (2-1)
During the match88′ equaliser, Middlesbrough (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Birmingham or Middlesbrough” goes from 74.4% to 73.4% success rate, over 79 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Championship

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes