Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Championship (England) · England

full time

Saturday, 22 August 2026

Southampton

3-1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 2–0

Stoke City

What Janus-12 said

83%

Southampton or draw

✓ It happened

None of the bookmakers we check offers this bet on this match.

Sealed on 22/08, 15:00announced on 15/08/2026, 6 days before kick-off

poster not sealed at kick-off: success rates are not shown

Championship

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Swansea City	8	5	2	1	+7	17
2	West Ham United	8	4	3	1	+11	15
3	Middlesbrough	8	4	3	1	+4	15
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	West Bromwich Albion	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	QPR	8	3	4	1	+3	13
7	Stoke City	8	4	1	3	+1	13
8	Bristol City	8	4	1	3	-1	13
9	Charlton	8	3	3	2	-3	12
10	Birmingham	8	2	5	1	+1	11
11	Millwall	8	3	2	3	0	11
12	Lincoln	8	3	2	3	-1	11
13	Southampton	8	4	2	2	+9	10
14	Wrexham	8	2	4	2	-3	10
15	Bolton	8	3	1	4	-4	10
16	Blackburn	8	2	3	3	0	9
17	Norwich City	8	3	0	5	-1	9
18	Sheffield United	8	2	3	3	-2	9
19	Portsmouth	7	2	2	3	-1	8
20	Watford	8	2	2	4	-3	8
21	Cardiff City	8	1	4	3	-2	7
22	Derby	8	1	2	5	-7	5
23	Preston	8	1	1	6	-7	4
24	Burnley	8	0	4	4	-8	4

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Southampton to win58%held
- Southampton took the lead in the 89th minute and never let it go.
- Southampton took control early: opening goal in the 8th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSouthampton 13th, Stoke City 7th (Championship)

During the match

During the match8′ opening goal, Southampton (1-0)
During the match26′ equaliser, Stoke City (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match89′ Southampton retake the lead (2-1)
Line-up89′ the goal came off the bench: D. Mubama (Southampton)
During the match90′ Southampton go 2 goals up (3-1)
During the match90′ sending-off, Stoke City (S. Ingelsson)

What it changes

This prediction came from a model trained on 592,110 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Southampton on the left, Stoke City on the right.

First half

8'Goal · C. Larin (assist : F. Downes)
19'Yellow card · J. Bree
Goal · E. Galbraith (assist : S. Gallagher)26'
Yellow card · S. Gallagher38'

Half-time1 - 1

Second half

50'Yellow card · F. Downes
53'Yellow card · R. Manning
Yellow card · E. Galbraith62'
Substitution · G. Hirst ⇄ R. Bozenik62'
Substitution · S. Gallagher ⇄ S. Ingelsson70'
78'Substitution · C. Larin ⇄ D. Mubama
78'Substitution · L. Scienza ⇄ L. Dobbin
Substitution · D. Soumare ⇄ T. Rigo81'
Substitution · E. Bocat ⇄ M. Talovierov81'
Yellow card · M. Talovierov82'
Yellow card · S. Ingelsson86'
89'Goal · D. Mubama (assist : F. Azaz)
90'Substitution · T. Fellows ⇄ S. Edozie
Yellow card · S. Ingelsson90+3'
Red card · S. Ingelsson90+3'
90+4'Penalty goal · R. Manning
90+5'Substitution · F. Azaz ⇄ R. Akachukwu
90+5'Substitution · K. Matsuki ⇄ C. Bragg

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Southampton to win58%held
- Southampton took the lead in the 89th minute and never let it go.
- Southampton took control early: opening goal in the 8th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSouthampton 13th, Stoke City 7th (Championship)

During the match

During the match8′ opening goal, Southampton (1-0)
During the match26′ equaliser, Stoke City (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match89′ Southampton retake the lead (2-1)
Line-up89′ the goal came off the bench: D. Mubama (Southampton)
During the match90′ Southampton go 2 goals up (3-1)
During the match90′ sending-off, Stoke City (S. Ingelsson)

What it changes

This prediction came from a model trained on 592,110 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Championship

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes