Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Bundesliga (Austria) · Austria

full time

Friday, 18 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Friday 18 September at 18:30. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

SK Rapid

3–0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 2–0

Tirol

What Janus-12 said

80%

SK Rapid or Tirol

68% success over 22 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: SK Rapid or Tirol

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 18/09, 04:46.

Sealed on 18/09, 18:30announced on 04/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

57% success over 23 matches in this league
56%✓

Bundesliga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	SK Rapid	7	6	0	1	+14	18
2	Salzburg	7	5	2	0	+14	17
3	LASK	7	5	1	1	+12	16
4	Sturm Graz	7	3	2	2	-1	11
5	Ried	7	2	2	3	-1	8
6	Hartberg	7	2	2	3	-3	8
7	Tirol	7	2	2	3	-3	8
8	A. Lustenau	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Grazer AK	7	2	2	3	-10	8
10	Austria Vienna	7	2	1	4	-6	7
11	Wolfsberger AC	7	1	2	4	-6	5
12	Altach	7	1	0	6	-7	3

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

SK Rapid or Tirol80%held
SK Rapid to win56%held
- SK Rapid took the lead in the 33rd minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 7 shots on target for SK Rapid against 1.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSK Rapid 1st, Tirol 7th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match33′ opening goal, SK Rapid (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match67′ SK Rapid go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match86′ last goal, SK Rapid
Line-up86′ the goal came off the bench: Nikolaus Wurmbrand (SK Rapid)

What it changes

In this league, “SK Rapid or Tirol” goes from 68.2% to 69.6% success rate, over 23 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,074 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

SK Rapid on the left, Tirol on the right.

First half

Yellow card · David Gugganig31'
33'Goal · Ercan Kara (assist : Jannes Horn)
39'Yellow card · Petter Nosakhare Dahl
41'Yellow card · Matthias Seidl

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Yellow card · Marco Boras47'
60'VAR: Penalty cancelled · Petter Nosakhare Dahl
67'Goal · Bendeguz Bolla (assist : Tonni Adamsen)
Substitution · Marc Striednig ⇄ Nemanja Celic68'
Substitution · Moritz Wels ⇄ Husein Balić68'
73'Substitution · Petter Nosakhare Dahl ⇄ Nikolaus Wurmbrand
73'Substitution · Tonni Adamsen ⇄ Moulaye Haïdara
77'Yellow card · Nikolaus Wurmbrand
Substitution · David Gugganig ⇄ David Kubatta78'
Substitution · Thomas Goiginger ⇄ Murat Satin78'
Substitution · Nikolai Baden Frederiksen ⇄ Lukas Hinterseer78'
83'Substitution · Ercan Kara ⇄ Claudy M'Buyi
86'Goal · Nikolaus Wurmbrand (assist : Nicolas Bajlicz)
87'Substitution · Nicolas Bajlicz ⇄ Louis Schaub
87'Substitution · Yusuf Demir ⇄ Marco Tilio
90'Yellow card · Jannes Horn

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

SK Rapid or Tirol80%held
SK Rapid to win56%held
- SK Rapid took the lead in the 33rd minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 7 shots on target for SK Rapid against 1.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSK Rapid 1st, Tirol 7th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match33′ opening goal, SK Rapid (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match67′ SK Rapid go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match86′ last goal, SK Rapid
Line-up86′ the goal came off the bench: Nikolaus Wurmbrand (SK Rapid)

What it changes

In this league, “SK Rapid or Tirol” goes from 68.2% to 69.6% success rate, over 23 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,074 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Bundesliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes