Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Bundesliga (Austria) · Austria

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 20 September at 16:00. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Salzburg

3–0full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 3–0

Sturm Graz

What Janus-12 said

75%

Salzburg or Sturm Graz

70% success over 27 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Salzburg or Sturm Graz

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 20/09, 16:00announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Bundesliga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	SK Rapid	7	6	0	1	+14	18
2	Salzburg	7	5	2	0	+14	17
3	LASK	7	5	1	1	+12	16
4	Sturm Graz	7	3	2	2	-1	11
5	Ried	7	2	2	3	-1	8
6	Hartberg	7	2	2	3	-3	8
7	Tirol	7	2	2	3	-3	8
8	A. Lustenau	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Grazer AK	7	2	2	3	-10	8
10	Austria Vienna	7	2	1	4	-6	7
11	Wolfsberger AC	7	1	2	4	-6	5
12	Altach	7	1	0	6	-7	3

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Salzburg or Sturm Graz75%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSalzburg 2nd, Sturm Graz 4th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match71′ opening goal, Salzburg (1-0)
During the match76′ Salzburg go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match76′ sending-off, Sturm Graz (Jurgen Heil)
During the match83′ last goal, Salzburg

What it changes

In this league, “Salzburg or Sturm Graz” goes from 70.4% to 71.4% success rate, over 28 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Salzburg on the left, Sturm Graz on the right.

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

52'Substitution · Damir Redzic ⇄ Sota Kitano
53'Substitution · Karim Konate ⇄ Yorbe Vertessen
53'Substitution · Edmund Baidoo ⇄ Aboubacar Sidiki Camara
Substitution · Axel Kayombo ⇄ Oumar Diakité58'
66'Substitution · Abubakr Barry ⇄ Umut Deger Tohumcu
Substitution · Valmir Matoshi ⇄ Filip Rozga Kucharczyk66'
Substitution · Simon Seidl ⇄ Otar Kiteishvili66'
71'Goal · Nikolas Veratschnig (assist : Bartosz Mazurek)
Yellow card · Jurgen Heil72'
Red card · Jurgen Heil76'
76'Goal · Kevin Boma (assist : Dominik Schmid)
Yellow card · Paul Koller79'
83'Goal · Aboubacar Sidiki Camara (assist : Sota Kitano)
Substitution · Arjan Malić ⇄ Petar Petrović84'
Substitution · Luca Weinhandl ⇄ Gizo Mamageishvili84'
86'Substitution · Bartosz Mazurek ⇄ Frans Kratzig

What we announced

1/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Salzburg or Sturm Graz75%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSalzburg 2nd, Sturm Graz 4th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match71′ opening goal, Salzburg (1-0)
During the match76′ Salzburg go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match76′ sending-off, Sturm Graz (Jurgen Heil)
During the match83′ last goal, Salzburg

What it changes

In this league, “Salzburg or Sturm Graz” goes from 70.4% to 71.4% success rate, over 28 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Bundesliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes