Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Bundesliga (Austria) · Austria

full time

Friday, 11 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Friday 11 September at 18:30. Originally planned for Saturday 12 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Ried

1–1full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 1–1

Salzburg

What Janus-12 said

86%

Draw or Salzburg

71% success over 17 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Draw or Salzburg

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 11/09, 13:01.

Sealed on 11/09, 18:30announced on 29/08/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

59% success over 17 matches in this league
65%✗

Bundesliga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	SK Rapid	7	6	0	1	+14	18
2	Salzburg	7	5	2	0	+14	17
3	LASK	7	5	1	1	+12	16
4	Sturm Graz	7	3	2	2	-1	11
5	Ried	7	2	2	3	-1	8
6	Hartberg	7	2	2	3	-3	8
7	Tirol	7	2	2	3	-3	8
8	A. Lustenau	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Grazer AK	7	2	2	3	-10	8
10	Austria Vienna	7	2	1	4	-6	7
11	Wolfsberger AC	7	1	2	4	-6	5
12	Altach	7	1	0	6	-7	3

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Salzburg86%held
- Salzburg were never behind.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 6 shots on target for Salzburg against 2.
Salzburg to win65%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Salzburg had 24 shots against 8, for 1 goal against 1.
- It all came down to the final minutes: Ried scored in the 86th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRied 5th, Salzburg 2nd (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match84′ opening goal, Salzburg (0-1)
During the match86′ equaliser, Ried (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Salzburg” goes from 70.6% to 72.2% success rate, over 18 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Ried on the left, Salzburg on the right.

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

54'Substitution · Niama Sissoko ⇄ Joris Boguo
Substitution · Yorbe Vertessen ⇄ Jesper Lindstrom58'
Yellow card · Sota Kitano64'
Yellow card · Abubakr Barry66'
66'Yellow card · Stefan Schwab
72'Substitution · Jussef Nasrawe ⇄ J. Rhodes
Substitution · Sota Kitano ⇄ Karim Konate73'
Substitution · Edmund Baidoo ⇄ Damir Redzic73'
74'Substitution · Martin Rasner ⇄ Lukas Malicsek
79'Yellow card · M. Despotović
Goal · Karim Konate84'
86'Goal · Philipp Pomer (assist : Moegamat Yusuf Maart)
90+2'Substitution · J. Rhodes ⇄ Evan Eghosa Aisowieren
Yellow card · Nikolas Veratschnig90+3'
90+3'Yellow card · Joris Boguo

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Salzburg86%held
- Salzburg were never behind.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 6 shots on target for Salzburg against 2.
Salzburg to win65%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Salzburg had 24 shots against 8, for 1 goal against 1.
- It all came down to the final minutes: Ried scored in the 86th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRied 5th, Salzburg 2nd (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match84′ opening goal, Salzburg (0-1)
During the match86′ equaliser, Ried (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Salzburg” goes from 70.6% to 72.2% success rate, over 18 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Bundesliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes