Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Bundesliga (Austria) · Austria

full time

Friday, 28 August 2026

A. Lustenau

0–4full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 0–3

Tirol

What Janus-12 said

73%

A. Lustenau or draw

93% success over 14 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 27 %

A prediction at 73 % fails 27 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: A. Lustenau or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 28/08, 04:44.

Sealed on 28/08, 18:30announced on 15/08/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Bundesliga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	SK Rapid	7	6	0	1	+14	18
2	Salzburg	7	5	2	0	+14	17
3	LASK	7	5	1	1	+12	16
4	Sturm Graz	7	3	2	2	-1	11
5	Ried	7	2	2	3	-1	8
6	Hartberg	7	2	2	3	-3	8
7	Tirol	7	2	2	3	-3	8
8	A. Lustenau	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Grazer AK	7	2	2	3	-10	8
10	Austria Vienna	7	2	1	4	-6	7
11	Wolfsberger AC	7	1	2	4	-6	5
12	Altach	7	1	0	6	-7	3

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

A. Lustenau or draw73%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableA. Lustenau 8th, Tirol 7th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match42′ opening goal, Tirol (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match52′ Tirol go 2 goals up (0-2)

What it changes

In this league, “A. Lustenau or draw” goes from 92.9% to 86.7% success rate, over 15 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,177 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

A. Lustenau on the left, Tirol on the right.

First half

Goal · M. Olakigbe42'

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

46'Yellow card · A. Verinac
Goal · N. Baden Frederiksen (assist : M. Olakigbe)52'
Goal · M. Striednig (assist : T. Goiginger)60'
Penalty goal · N. Baden Frederiksen66'
66'Yellow card · P. Bohm
67'Substitution · A. Gashi ⇄ L. Jastremski
67'Substitution · L. Afrifa ⇄ S. Delaye
67'Substitution · A. Verinac ⇄ P. Benjamin
Yellow card · M. Oswald69'
Substitution · N. Baden Frederiksen ⇄ L. Hinterseer71'
Substitution · M. Satin ⇄ N. Celic71'
74'Substitution · F. Gmeiner ⇄ Anilson
Substitution · T. Goiginger ⇄ R. Gschosser78'
Substitution · H. Balic ⇄ G. Bedianashvili78'
86'Substitution · N. Pertlwieser ⇄ R. Voisine
Substitution · D. Murray ⇄ D. Jaunegg87'

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

A. Lustenau or draw73%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableA. Lustenau 8th, Tirol 7th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match42′ opening goal, Tirol (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match52′ Tirol go 2 goals up (0-2)

What it changes

In this league, “A. Lustenau or draw” goes from 92.9% to 86.7% success rate, over 15 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,177 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Bundesliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes