Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Bundesliga (Austria) · Austria

full time

Saturday, 22 August 2026

Sturm Graz

1–1full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 1–0

A. Lustenau

What Janus-12 said

91%

Sturm Graz or draw

✓ It happened

None of the bookmakers we check offers this bet on this match.

Sealed on 22/08, 18:30announced on 15/08/2026, 6 days before kick-off

poster not sealed at kick-off: success rates are not shown

Bundesliga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	SK Rapid	7	6	0	1	+14	18
2	Salzburg	7	5	2	0	+14	17
3	LASK	7	5	1	1	+12	16
4	Sturm Graz	7	3	2	2	-1	11
5	Ried	7	2	2	3	-1	8
6	Hartberg	7	2	2	3	-3	8
7	Tirol	7	2	2	3	-3	8
8	A. Lustenau	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Grazer AK	7	2	2	3	-10	8
10	Austria Vienna	7	2	1	4	-6	7
11	Wolfsberger AC	7	1	2	4	-6	5
12	Altach	7	1	0	6	-7	3

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Sturm Graz to win72%lost
- The chances were on the right side: 1.67 expected goals for Sturm Graz against 0.73, and the score says the opposite.
- Sturm Graz chased the score almost all match: A. Lustenau scored as early as the 10th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSturm Graz 4th, A. Lustenau 8th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match10′ opening goal, A. Lustenau (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match65′ equaliser, Sturm Graz (1-1)
During the match90′ sending-off, A. Lustenau (D. Schierl)

What it changes

This prediction came from a model trained on 592,110 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Sturm Graz on the left, A. Lustenau on the right.

First half

Goal · D. Weixelbraun (assist : Danilo Soares)10'

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

46'Substitution · S. Wlodarczyk ⇄ N. Weiper
Yellow card · L. Afrifa53'
65'Penalty goal · S. Jatta
66'Yellow card · N. Weiper
67'Substitution · E. Soglo ⇄ L. Balbo
Substitution · A. Gashi ⇄ L. Jastremski67'
67'Substitution · S. Seidl ⇄ G. Mamageishvili
Yellow card · F. Gmeiner73'
Substitution · D. Weixelbraun ⇄ H. Ismailcebioglu77'
Substitution · L. Afrifa ⇄ S. Delaye77'
79'Substitution · P. Petrovic ⇄ P. Koller
79'Substitution · S. Jatta ⇄ B. Beganovic
Substitution · D. Kacuri ⇄ P. Grabher88'
Substitution · A. Verinac ⇄ P. Benjamin89'
90+2'Yellow card · G. Mamageishvili
Yellow card · H. Ismailcebioglu90+5'
Red card · D. Schierl90+8'

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Sturm Graz to win72%lost
- The chances were on the right side: 1.67 expected goals for Sturm Graz against 0.73, and the score says the opposite.
- Sturm Graz chased the score almost all match: A. Lustenau scored as early as the 10th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSturm Graz 4th, A. Lustenau 8th (Bundesliga)

During the match

During the match10′ opening goal, A. Lustenau (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match65′ equaliser, Sturm Graz (1-1)
During the match90′ sending-off, A. Lustenau (D. Schierl)

What it changes

This prediction came from a model trained on 592,110 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Bundesliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes