Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League (Russia) · Russia

full time

Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Spartak Moscow

1–0full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 1–0

Fakel Voronezh

What Janus-12 said

91%

Spartak Moscow or draw

82% success over 38 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 5 bookmakers

Bet offered: Spartak Moscow or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 16/09, 15:10.

Sealed on 16/09, 16:30announced on 02/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

80% success over 35 matches in this league
78%✗
53% success over 38 matches in this league
75%✓
50% success over 10 matches in this league
55%✗
33% success over 3 matches in this league
56%✗

Premier League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	+7	21
2	Dynamo Moscow	9	6	1	2	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	+10	18
6	Rubin Kazan	9	2	6	1	+1	12
7	Dynamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	+2	11
9	Krylya Sovetov	9	2	5	2	-1	11
10	Akhmat Grozny	9	2	4	3	0	10
11	Orenburg	9	1	6	2	-3	9
12	FK Rostov	9	2	2	5	-7	8
13	Akron Togliatti	9	1	5	3	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv Moscow	9	1	4	4	-3	7
15	Rodina Moscow	9	1	2	6	-12	5
16	Fakel Voronezh	9	0	3	6	-7	3

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Spartak Moscow or draw91%held
- Fakel Voronezh played 24 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 66th minute.
- Spartak Moscow took the lead in the 90th minute and never let it go.
Over 1.5 goals78%lost
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 66th minute, on the Fakel Voronezh side.
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
Spartak Moscow to win75%held
Over 2.5 goals55%lost
Spartak Moscow ahead at half-time56%lost
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSpartak Moscow 4th, Fakel Voronezh 16th (Premier League)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match66′ sending-off, Fakel Voronezh (Matvey Bardachev)
During the match90′ opening goal, Spartak Moscow (1-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Spartak Moscow or draw” goes from 81.6% to 82.1% success rate, over 39 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,827 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Spartak Moscow on the left, Fakel Voronezh on the right.

First half

Substitution · Maksim Turishchev ⇄ Hodaifa El Mhassani39'

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

Yellow card · Matvey Bardachev59'
61'Substitution · Mirlind Daku ⇄ Esequiel Barco
61'Substitution · Marquinhos ⇄ Igor Dmitriev
Substitution · Anton Kovalev ⇄ Belajdi Pusi64'
Substitution · Aleksandr Koksharov ⇄ Nikolay Giorgobiani64'
Yellow card · Albert Gabaraev66'
Red card · Matvey Bardachev66'
75'Substitution · Daniil Denisov ⇄ Danil Prutsev
Substitution · Butta Magomedov ⇄ Axel Gnapi79'
Substitution · Darko Todorovic ⇄ Yuriy Zhuravlev79'
Yellow card · Nikolay Giorgobiani86'
90+1'Goal · Manfred Ugalde

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Spartak Moscow or draw91%held
- Fakel Voronezh played 24 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 66th minute.
- Spartak Moscow took the lead in the 90th minute and never let it go.
Over 1.5 goals78%lost
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 66th minute, on the Fakel Voronezh side.
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
Spartak Moscow to win75%held
Over 2.5 goals55%lost
Spartak Moscow ahead at half-time56%lost
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSpartak Moscow 4th, Fakel Voronezh 16th (Premier League)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match66′ sending-off, Fakel Voronezh (Matvey Bardachev)
During the match90′ opening goal, Spartak Moscow (1-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Spartak Moscow or draw” goes from 81.6% to 82.1% success rate, over 39 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,827 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes