Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League (Russia) · Russia

full time

Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Rodina Moscow

1–1full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 1–1

Rubin Kazan

What Janus-12 said

78%

Draw or Rubin Kazan

82% success over 38 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Draw or Rubin Kazan

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 16/09, 15:10.

Sealed on 16/09, 16:30announced on 02/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

80% success over 35 matches in this league
75%✓
75% success over 32 matches in this league
75%✓
53% success over 38 matches in this league
54%✗
36% success over 25 matches in this league
52%✓

Premier League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	+7	21
2	Dynamo Moscow	9	6	1	2	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	+10	18
6	Rubin Kazan	9	2	6	1	+1	12
7	Dynamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	+2	11
9	Krylya Sovetov	9	2	5	2	-1	11
10	Akhmat Grozny	9	2	4	3	0	10
11	Orenburg	9	1	6	2	-3	9
12	FK Rostov	9	2	2	5	-7	8
13	Akron Togliatti	9	1	5	3	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv Moscow	9	1	4	4	-3	7
15	Rodina Moscow	9	1	2	6	-12	5
16	Fakel Voronezh	9	0	3	6	-7	3

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Rubin Kazan78%held
Over 1.5 goals75%held
- The two teams had 8 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Draw or Rubin Kazan ahead at half-time75%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Rubin Kazan to win54%lost
Under 2.5 goals52%held
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The two teams managed only 8 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRodina Moscow 15th, Rubin Kazan 6th (Premier League)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match79′ opening goal, Rodina Moscow (1-0)
During the match82′ equaliser, Rubin Kazan (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Rubin Kazan” goes from 81.6% to 82.1% success rate, over 39 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,827 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Rodina Moscow on the left, Rubin Kazan on the right.

First half

30'Yellow card · Brian Mansilla
Yellow card · Veldin Hodza41'

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

Yellow card · Ilya Rozhkov50'
50'Yellow card · Leon Musaev
57'Substitution · Brian Mansilla ⇄ Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov
58'Substitution · Yordy Reyna ⇄ Artem Maksimenko
Yellow card · Jacques Siwe59'
Substitution · Jacques Siwe ⇄ Daniil Kuznetsov64'
Substitution · Veldin Hodza ⇄ Nikita Lobov65'
Substitution · Bogdan Jočić ⇄ Ignacio Saavedra65'
Substitution · Ilya Rozhkov ⇄ Egor Teslenko72'
72'Substitution · German Onugkha ⇄ Ivan Timoshenko
79'Goal · Deiver Machado (assist : Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov)
80'Substitution · Stanislav Bessmertniy ⇄ Artem Sokol
Substitution · Denil Maldonado ⇄ Ulvi Babaev80'
81'Substitution · Leon Musaev ⇄ Ruslan Fishchenko
Goal · Anderson Arroyo (assist : Igor Vujacic)82'

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Rubin Kazan78%held
Over 1.5 goals75%held
- The two teams had 8 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Draw or Rubin Kazan ahead at half-time75%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Rubin Kazan to win54%lost
Under 2.5 goals52%held
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The two teams managed only 8 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRodina Moscow 15th, Rubin Kazan 6th (Premier League)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match79′ opening goal, Rodina Moscow (1-0)
During the match82′ equaliser, Rubin Kazan (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Rubin Kazan” goes from 81.6% to 82.1% success rate, over 39 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,827 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes