Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League (Russia) · Russia

full time

Thursday, 17 September 2026

Dynamo Makhachkala

1–3full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 0–2

CSKA Moscow

What Janus-12 said

77%

Draw or CSKA Moscow

84% success over 43 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Draw or CSKA Moscow

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 17/09, 23:00.

Sealed on 17/09, 18:45announced on 03/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

78% success over 36 matches in this league
79%✓
78% success over 40 matches in this league
76%✓
51% success over 43 matches in this league
51%✓
39% success over 28 matches in this league
51%✗

Premier League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	+7	21
2	Dynamo Moscow	9	6	1	2	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	+10	18
6	Rubin Kazan	9	2	6	1	+1	12
7	Dynamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	+2	11
9	Krylya Sovetov	9	2	5	2	-1	11
10	Akhmat Grozny	9	2	4	3	0	10
11	Orenburg	9	1	6	2	-3	9
12	FK Rostov	9	2	2	5	-7	8
13	Akron Togliatti	9	1	5	3	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv Moscow	9	1	4	4	-3	7
15	Rodina Moscow	9	1	2	6	-12	5
16	Fakel Voronezh	9	0	3	6	-7	3

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or CSKA Moscow77%held
- CSKA Moscow took the lead in the 69th minute and never let it go.
- CSKA Moscow took control early: opening goal in the 13th minute.
Draw or CSKA Moscow ahead at half-time79%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 13′ CSKA Moscow, 20′ Dynamo Makhachkala.
Over 1.5 goals76%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 13th minute, 4 in total.
- The two teams had 7 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
CSKA Moscow to win51%held
Under 2.5 goals51%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDynamo Makhachkala 7th, CSKA Moscow 3rd (Premier League)

During the match

During the match13′ opening goal, CSKA Moscow (0-1)
During the match20′ equaliser, Dynamo Makhachkala (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match69′ CSKA Moscow retake the lead (1-2)
During the match79′ CSKA Moscow go 2 goals up (1-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or CSKA Moscow” goes from 83.7% to 84.1% success rate, over 44 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,014 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Dynamo Makhachkala on the left, CSKA Moscow on the right.

First half

Own goal · Makhmud Makhamadzhonov13'
18'Yellow card · Houssem Mrezigue
20'Goal · Gamid Agalarov (assist : Egor Smelov)
Yellow card · Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov25'
44'Yellow card · Gamid Agalarov
Yellow card · João Victor da Silva Marcelino44'
44'Yellow card · Mutalip Alibekov
Yellow card · Egor Besaev45'
Substitution · Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov ⇄ Matvey Lukin45'
Substitution · Tamerlan Musaev ⇄ Luciano Gondou45'
45'Substitution · Egor Smelov ⇄ Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

50'VAR: Goal cancelled · Gamid Agalarov
Yellow card · Ivan Oleynikov52'
Goal · Luciano Gondou (assist : Ivan Oleynikov)69'
70'Substitution · Marat Apshatsev ⇄ Dmitriy Aleksandrov
Substitution · Ivan Oleynikov ⇄ Matheus Alves76'
Substitution · Kirill Glebov ⇄ Imran Firov77'
78'Substitution · Gamid Agalarov ⇄ Valdemiro Pinto Domingos
Goal · Imran Firov (assist : Matvey Kislyak)79'
82'Substitution · Daniil Lesovoy ⇄ Vladimir Khubulov
Substitution · Ivan Oblyakov ⇄ Henrique Carmo90+4'

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or CSKA Moscow77%held
- CSKA Moscow took the lead in the 69th minute and never let it go.
- CSKA Moscow took control early: opening goal in the 13th minute.
Draw or CSKA Moscow ahead at half-time79%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 13′ CSKA Moscow, 20′ Dynamo Makhachkala.
Over 1.5 goals76%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 13th minute, 4 in total.
- The two teams had 7 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
CSKA Moscow to win51%held
Under 2.5 goals51%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableDynamo Makhachkala 7th, CSKA Moscow 3rd (Premier League)

During the match

During the match13′ opening goal, CSKA Moscow (0-1)
During the match20′ equaliser, Dynamo Makhachkala (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match69′ CSKA Moscow retake the lead (1-2)
During the match79′ CSKA Moscow go 2 goals up (1-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or CSKA Moscow” goes from 83.7% to 84.1% success rate, over 44 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,014 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes