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Janus-12

Premier League (Russia) · Russia

full time

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Fakel Voronezh

2–2full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–2

Baltika

What Janus-12 said

80%

Draw or Baltika ahead at half-time

81% success over 26 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 20 %

A prediction at 80 % fails 20 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Draw or Baltika ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 12/09, 16:34.

Sealed on 12/09, 12:00announced on 29/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

79% success over 28 matches in this league
66%✓
77% success over 31 matches in this league
75%✓
39% success over 23 matches in this league
63%✗

Premier League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	+7	21
2	Dynamo Moscow	9	6	1	2	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	+10	18
6	Rubin Kazan	9	2	6	1	+1	12
7	Dynamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	+2	11
9	Krylya Sovetov	9	2	5	2	-1	11
10	Akhmat Grozny	9	2	4	3	0	10
11	Orenburg	9	1	6	2	-3	9
12	FK Rostov	9	2	2	5	-7	8
13	Akron Togliatti	9	1	5	3	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv Moscow	9	1	4	4	-3	7
15	Rodina Moscow	9	1	2	6	-12	5
16	Fakel Voronezh	9	0	3	6	-7	3

What we announced

2/4

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Baltika ahead at half-time80%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 13′ Fakel Voronezh.
Over 1.5 goals66%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 13th minute, 4 in total.
- The two teams had 7 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Draw or Baltika75%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 4 shots on target for Baltika against 3.
Under 2.5 goals63%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFakel Voronezh 16th, Baltika 8th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match13′ opening goal, Fakel Voronezh (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match51′ Fakel Voronezh go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ Baltika come back from 2 goals down (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Baltika ahead at half-time” goes from 80.8% to 77.8% success rate, over 27 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Fakel Voronezh on the left, Baltika on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Andrey Mendel10'
13'Goal · Ravil Netfullin (assist : Aleksey Sutormin)
Substitution · Maksim Petrov ⇄ Ilya Petrov45'
45'Substitution · Aleksey Sutormin ⇄ Butta Magomedov
Substitution · Vladislav Pospelov ⇄ Egor Golenkov45'
Substitution · Mingiyan Beveev ⇄ Maksim Shnaptsev45'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Yellow card · Eduardo Anderson47'
51'Goal · Butta Magomedov
Substitution · Andrey Mendel ⇄ Ivan Belikov65'
Substitution · Nathan Gassama ⇄ Mikhail Ryadno65'
68'Substitution · Aleksandr Koksharov ⇄ Axel Gnapi
68'Substitution · Maksim Turishchev ⇄ Nikolay Giorgobiani
Goal · Egor Golenkov (assist : Brayan Gil)74'
76'Substitution · Anton Kovalev ⇄ Darko Todorovic
Yellow card · Loris Mouyokolo82'
VAR: Penalty confirmed · Egor Golenkov90+3'
Penalty goal · Brayan Gil90+5'
90+6'Yellow card · Axel Gnapi

What we announced

2/4

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Baltika ahead at half-time80%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 13′ Fakel Voronezh.
Over 1.5 goals66%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 13th minute, 4 in total.
- The two teams had 7 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Draw or Baltika75%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 4 shots on target for Baltika against 3.
Under 2.5 goals63%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFakel Voronezh 16th, Baltika 8th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match13′ opening goal, Fakel Voronezh (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match51′ Fakel Voronezh go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ Baltika come back from 2 goals down (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Baltika ahead at half-time” goes from 80.8% to 77.8% success rate, over 27 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes