Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League (Russia) · Russia

full time

Saturday, 12 September 2026

CSKA Moscow

1–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–1

Rubin Kazan

What Janus-12 said

74%

Over 1.5 goals

80% success over 30 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Over 1.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 12/09, 16:34.

Sealed on 12/09, 18:45announced on 29/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

79% success over 33 matches in this league
80%✓
79% success over 28 matches in this league
59%✗
67% success over 6 matches in this league
51%✗
52% success over 33 matches in this league
53%✗

Premier League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	+7	21
2	Dynamo Moscow	9	6	1	2	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	+10	18
6	Rubin Kazan	9	2	6	1	+1	12
7	Dynamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	+2	11
9	Krylya Sovetov	9	2	5	2	-1	11
10	Akhmat Grozny	9	2	4	3	0	10
11	Orenburg	9	1	6	2	-3	9
12	FK Rostov	9	2	2	5	-7	8
13	Akron Togliatti	9	1	5	3	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv Moscow	9	1	4	4	-3	7
15	Rodina Moscow	9	1	2	6	-12	5
16	Fakel Voronezh	9	0	3	6	-7	3

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Over 1.5 goals74%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 6th minute, 2 in total.
- The two teams had 7 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
CSKA Moscow or draw80%held
- CSKA Moscow held on with ten men for 75 minutes (sent off in the 15th minute), and the prediction held with them.
- CSKA Moscow took control early: opening goal in the 6th minute.
Draw or Rubin Kazan ahead at half-time59%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 6′ CSKA Moscow.
Over 2.5 goals51%lost
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 15th minute, on the CSKA Moscow side.
- The two teams managed only 7 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
CSKA Moscow to win53%lost
- CSKA Moscow finished with ten men: sent off in the 15th minute, 75 minutes a man down.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCSKA Moscow 3rd, Rubin Kazan 6th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match6′ opening goal, CSKA Moscow (1-0)
During the match15′ sending-off, CSKA Moscow (Matheus Reis)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match58′ equaliser, Rubin Kazan (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Over 1.5 goals” goes from 80% to 80.6% success rate, over 31 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

CSKA Moscow on the left, Rubin Kazan on the right.

First half

2'VAR: Penalty confirmed · Matvey Kislyak
6'Penalty goal · Ivan Oblyakov
14'VAR: Card upgrade confirmed · Matheus Reis
15'Red card · Matheus Reis
Yellow card · Nikita Lobov18'
Substitution · Ilya Rozhkov ⇄ Nazmi Gripshi45'
Substitution · Nikita Lobov ⇄ Ilya Samoshnikov45'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

54'Yellow card · Ivan Oblyakov
Goal · Anderson Arroyo (assist : Aleksandar Jukic)58'
Substitution · Aleksandar Jukic ⇄ Ruslan Bezrukov66'
68'Substitution · Tamerlan Musaev ⇄ Luciano Gondou
71'Yellow card · Luciano Gondou
Substitution · Jacques Siwe ⇄ Daniil Motorin74'
Yellow card · Daniil Motorin81'
81'Substitution · Kirill Glebov ⇄ Ivan Oleynikov
Substitution · Igor Vujacic ⇄ Denil Maldonado87'
Yellow card · Ugochukwu Iwu88'
Yellow card · Jakhongir Urozov90+2'

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Over 1.5 goals74%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 6th minute, 2 in total.
- The two teams had 7 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
CSKA Moscow or draw80%held
- CSKA Moscow held on with ten men for 75 minutes (sent off in the 15th minute), and the prediction held with them.
- CSKA Moscow took control early: opening goal in the 6th minute.
Draw or Rubin Kazan ahead at half-time59%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 6′ CSKA Moscow.
Over 2.5 goals51%lost
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 15th minute, on the CSKA Moscow side.
- The two teams managed only 7 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
CSKA Moscow to win53%lost
- CSKA Moscow finished with ten men: sent off in the 15th minute, 75 minutes a man down.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableCSKA Moscow 3rd, Rubin Kazan 6th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match6′ opening goal, CSKA Moscow (1-0)
During the match15′ sending-off, CSKA Moscow (Matheus Reis)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match58′ equaliser, Rubin Kazan (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Over 1.5 goals” goes from 80% to 80.6% success rate, over 31 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes