Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League (Russia) · Russia

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Zenit

1–2full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 1–1

CSKA Moscow

What Janus-12 said

58%

Draw or CSKA Moscow ahead at half-time

89% success over 18 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 4 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or CSKA Moscow ahead at half-time

1xBet
BetPawa
Betsson
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/09, 08:33.

Sealed on 05/09, 14:31announced on 22/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

78% success over 23 matches in this league
82%✗
75% success over 20 matches in this league
72%✓
52% success over 23 matches in this league
56%✗
38% success over 16 matches in this league
51%✗

Premier League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	+7	21
2	Dynamo Moscow	9	6	1	2	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	+10	18
6	Rubin Kazan	9	2	6	1	+1	12
7	Dynamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	+2	11
9	Krylya Sovetov	9	2	5	2	-1	11
10	Akhmat Grozny	9	2	4	3	0	10
11	Orenburg	9	1	6	2	-3	9
12	FK Rostov	9	2	2	5	-7	8
13	Akron Togliatti	9	1	5	3	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv Moscow	9	1	4	4	-3	7
15	Rodina Moscow	9	1	2	6	-12	5
16	Fakel Voronezh	9	0	3	6	-7	3

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or CSKA Moscow ahead at half-time58%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 45′ CSKA Moscow.
Zenit or draw82%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: CSKA Moscow scored in the 90th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Zenit had 21 shots against 11, for 1 goal against 2.
Over 1.5 goals72%held
- The two teams had 12 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Zenit to win56%lost
Under 2.5 goals51%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableZenit 5th, CSKA Moscow 3rd (Premier League)

During the match

During the match45′ opening goal, CSKA Moscow (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match84′ equaliser, Zenit (1-1)
During the match90′ CSKA Moscow retake the lead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or CSKA Moscow ahead at half-time” goes from 88.9% to 89.5% success rate, over 19 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Zenit on the left, CSKA Moscow on the right.

First half

Yellow card · João Victor da Silva Marcelino7'
7'Yellow card · Sergey Semak
Yellow card · Kirill Glebov19'
Yellow card · Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov30'
43'Yellow card · Kevin Andrade
45'Substitution · Gustavo Mantuan ⇄ Sergey Volkov
VAR: Penalty confirmed · Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov45+6'
45+6'Yellow card · Aleksandr Sobolev
Penalty goal · Ivan Oblyakov45+8'

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

46'Yellow card · Maksim Glushenkov
63'Substitution · Wílmar Barrios ⇄ Pedro Henrique Silva dos Santos
63'Substitution · Roman Vega ⇄ Douglas Santos
Substitution · Luciano Gondou ⇄ Tamerlan Musaev68'
73'Substitution · Jhon Jhon ⇄ Felipe Augusto
Substitution · Mohamed Azzi ⇄ Imran Firov80'
84'Goal · Aleksandr Sobolev (assist : Luiz Henrique)
89'Substitution · Luiz Henrique ⇄ Aleksandr Erokhin
89'Yellow card · Nuraly Alip
Goal · Ivan Oblyakov90+8'

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or CSKA Moscow ahead at half-time58%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 45′ CSKA Moscow.
Zenit or draw82%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: CSKA Moscow scored in the 90th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Zenit had 21 shots against 11, for 1 goal against 2.
Over 1.5 goals72%held
- The two teams had 12 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Zenit to win56%lost
Under 2.5 goals51%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableZenit 5th, CSKA Moscow 3rd (Premier League)

During the match

During the match45′ opening goal, CSKA Moscow (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match84′ equaliser, Zenit (1-1)
During the match90′ CSKA Moscow retake the lead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or CSKA Moscow ahead at half-time” goes from 88.9% to 89.5% success rate, over 19 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes