Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League (Russia) · Russia

full time

Sunday, 6 September 2026

Orenburg

2–2full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–2

Akron Togliatti

What Janus-12 said

64%

Draw or Akron Togliatti ahead at half-time

90% success over 20 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 36 %

A prediction at 64 % fails 36 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 3 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Akron Togliatti ahead at half-time

1xBet
BetPawa
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/09, 09:02.

Sealed on 06/09, 12:00announced on 23/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

77% success over 22 matches in this league
71%✓
76% success over 25 matches in this league
77%✓
33% success over 18 matches in this league
59%✗

Premier League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	+7	21
2	Dynamo Moscow	9	6	1	2	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	+10	18
6	Rubin Kazan	9	2	6	1	+1	12
7	Dynamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	+2	11
9	Krylya Sovetov	9	2	5	2	-1	11
10	Akhmat Grozny	9	2	4	3	0	10
11	Orenburg	9	1	6	2	-3	9
12	FK Rostov	9	2	2	5	-7	8
13	Akron Togliatti	9	1	5	3	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv Moscow	9	1	4	4	-3	7
15	Rodina Moscow	9	1	2	6	-12	5
16	Fakel Voronezh	9	0	3	6	-7	3

What we announced

2/4

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Akron Togliatti ahead at half-time64%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 36′ Orenburg.
Over 1.5 goals71%held
- The two teams had 7 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Orenburg or draw77%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 4 shots on target for Orenburg against 3.
Under 2.5 goals59%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableOrenburg 11th, Akron Togliatti 13th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match36′ opening goal, Orenburg (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match75′ equaliser, Akron Togliatti (1-1)
During the match78′ turnaround, Akron Togliatti go ahead (1-2)
During the match83′ equaliser, Orenburg (2-2)
Line-up83′ the goal came off the bench: Alexandre Jesus (Orenburg)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Akron Togliatti ahead at half-time” goes from 90% to 85.7% success rate, over 21 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,465 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Orenburg on the left, Akron Togliatti on the right.

First half

20'Yellow card · Evgeniy Bolotov
36'Goal · Gedeon Guzina (assist : Dmitriy Rybchinskiy)
Yellow card · Khetag Khosonov44'
Substitution · Kevin Arevalo ⇄ Kristijan Bistrović45'
Substitution · Konstantin Maradishvili ⇄ Slobodan Tedić45'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Substitution · Khetag Khosonov ⇄ karlen hovhannisyan62'
62'Substitution · Damian Puebla ⇄ Andrey Kasadzhikov
Yellow card · Gilson Benchimol67'
69'Yellow card · Aleksey Tataev
Goal · Dudu Rodrigues (assist : Gilson Benchimol)75'
Goal · Gilson Benchimol (assist : Yomar Rocha)78'
80'Substitution · Egor Nazarenko ⇄ Jordhy Thompson
80'Substitution · Gedeon Guzina ⇄ Alexandre Jesus
80'Substitution · Dmitriy Rybchinskiy ⇄ Renat Golybin
83'Goal · Alexandre Jesus (assist : Jordhy Thompson)
Substitution · Dudu Rodrigues ⇄ Marat Bokoev86'
Substitution · Denis Popenkov ⇄ Roberto Fernández86'
Yellow card · Marat Bokoev90+3'

What we announced

2/4

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Akron Togliatti ahead at half-time64%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 36′ Orenburg.
Over 1.5 goals71%held
- The two teams had 7 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Orenburg or draw77%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 4 shots on target for Orenburg against 3.
Under 2.5 goals59%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableOrenburg 11th, Akron Togliatti 13th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match36′ opening goal, Orenburg (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match75′ equaliser, Akron Togliatti (1-1)
During the match78′ turnaround, Akron Togliatti go ahead (1-2)
During the match83′ equaliser, Orenburg (2-2)
Line-up83′ the goal came off the bench: Alexandre Jesus (Orenburg)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Akron Togliatti ahead at half-time” goes from 90% to 85.7% success rate, over 21 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,465 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes