Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League (Russia) · Russia

full time

Sunday, 30 August 2026

Spartak Moscow

1-1full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 1–1

Orenburg

What Janus-12 said

51%

Spartak Moscow ahead at half-time

100% success over 1 match in this league

✗ Fell into the 49 %

A prediction at 51 % fails 49 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 3 bookmakers

Bet offered: Spartak Moscow ahead at half-time

1xBet
BetPawa
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 30/08, 15:10.

Sealed on 30/08, 15:30announced on 16/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

75% success over 20 matches in this league
89%✓
71% success over 17 matches in this league
74%✓
67% success over 3 matches in this league
52%✗
55% success over 20 matches in this league
69%✗

Premier League

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	+7	21
2	Dynamo Moscow	9	6	1	2	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	+10	18
6	Rubin Kazan	9	2	6	1	+1	12
7	Dynamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	+2	11
9	Krylya Sovetov	9	2	5	2	-1	11
10	Akhmat Grozny	9	2	4	3	0	10
11	Orenburg	9	1	6	2	-3	9
12	FK Rostov	9	2	2	5	-7	8
13	Akron Togliatti	9	1	5	3	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv Moscow	9	1	4	4	-3	7
15	Rodina Moscow	9	1	2	6	-12	5
16	Fakel Voronezh	9	0	3	6	-7	3

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Spartak Moscow ahead at half-time51%lost
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Spartak Moscow or draw89%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 7 shots on target for Spartak Moscow against 1.
Over 1.5 goals74%held
- The two teams had 8 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Over 2.5 goals52%lost
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The two teams managed only 8 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Spartak Moscow to win69%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Spartak Moscow had 18 shots against 4, for 1 goal against 1.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSpartak Moscow 4th, Orenburg 11th (Premier League)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match66′ opening goal, Orenburg (0-1)
During the match76′ equaliser, Spartak Moscow (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Spartak Moscow ahead at half-time” goes from 100% to 50% success rate, over 2 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,738 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Spartak Moscow on the left, Orenburg on the right.

First half

8'VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside · M. Ugalde
Yellow card · D. Vedernikov36'
41'Yellow card · M. Daku
Yellow card · J. Palacios45+2'

Half-time0 - 0

Second half

50'Yellow card · J. C. Carcedo
Yellow card · G. Guzina59'
59'Yellow card · C. Wooh
Yellow card · I. Akhmetzyanov60'
Substitution · D. Puebla ⇄ E. Nazarenko61'
Substitution · D. Rybchinskiy ⇄ A. Kasadzhikov61'
Goal · R. Kul (assist : G. Guzina)66'
69'Substitution · D. Prutsev ⇄ I. Dmitriev
76'Penalty goal · M. Daku
Substitution · G. Guzina ⇄ Alexandre Jesus77'
77'Substitution · N. Umyarov ⇄ D. Denisov
Substitution · E. Bolotov ⇄ O. Minatulaev77'
Yellow card · O. Minatulaev83'
Yellow card · M. Sivis86'
Yellow card · B. Ovsyannikov90'
Yellow card · E. Tsenov90+1'
Yellow card · A. Tataev90+2'

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Spartak Moscow ahead at half-time51%lost
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Spartak Moscow or draw89%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 7 shots on target for Spartak Moscow against 1.
Over 1.5 goals74%held
- The two teams had 8 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Over 2.5 goals52%lost
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
- The two teams managed only 8 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.
Spartak Moscow to win69%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Spartak Moscow had 18 shots against 4, for 1 goal against 1.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSpartak Moscow 4th, Orenburg 11th (Premier League)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match66′ opening goal, Orenburg (0-1)
During the match76′ equaliser, Spartak Moscow (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Spartak Moscow ahead at half-time” goes from 100% to 50% success rate, over 2 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,738 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes