Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League (Russia) · Russia

full time

Sunday, 30 August 2026

Rodina Moscow

0-3full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 0–2

Baltika

What Janus-12 said

75%

Draw or Baltika ahead at half-time

87% success over 15 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Draw or Baltika ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 30/08, 09:30.

Sealed on 30/08, 13:00announced on 16/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

74% success over 19 matches in this league
77%✓
69% success over 16 matches in this league
71%✓
53% success over 19 matches in this league
50%✓
46% success over 13 matches in this league
54%✗

Premier League

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	+7	21
2	Dynamo Moscow	9	6	1	2	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	+10	18
6	Rubin Kazan	9	2	6	1	+1	12
7	Dynamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	+2	11
9	Krylya Sovetov	9	2	5	2	-1	11
10	Akhmat Grozny	9	2	4	3	0	10
11	Orenburg	9	1	6	2	-3	9
12	FK Rostov	9	2	2	5	-7	8
13	Akron Togliatti	9	1	5	3	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv Moscow	9	1	4	4	-3	7
15	Rodina Moscow	9	1	2	6	-12	5
16	Fakel Voronezh	9	0	3	6	-7	3

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Baltika ahead at half-time75%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 22′ Baltika.
Rodina Moscow or Baltika77%held
Over 1.5 goals71%held
- The two teams had 10 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Baltika to win50%held
- Baltika took the lead in the 22nd minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 9 shots on target for Baltika against 1.
Under 2.5 goals54%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRodina Moscow 15th, Baltika 8th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match22′ opening goal, Baltika (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match74′ Baltika go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match85′ last goal, Baltika

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Baltika ahead at half-time” goes from 86.7% to 87.5% success rate, over 16 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,738 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Rodina Moscow on the left, Baltika on the right.

First half

Goal · A. Mourid22'
Yellow card · A. Mourid26'
Yellow card · M. Beveev30'
Yellow card · A. Mendel44'

Half-time0 - 1

Second half

Substitution · B. Gil ⇄ C. Offor46'
46'Substitution · A. Sokol ⇄ S. Bakaev
Substitution · A. Mendel ⇄ I. Belikov53'
Substitution · A. Mourid ⇄ M. Petrov53'
57'Yellow card · I. Pozo
70'Substitution · R. Fishchenko ⇄ K. Ushatov
Substitution · V. Pospelov ⇄ F. Moufi72'
Yellow card · M. Petrov72'
73'Yellow card · Y. Reyna
Goal · C. Offor (assist : M. Petrov)74'
Yellow card · N. Titkov77'
77'Substitution · A. Maksimenko ⇄ I. Timoshenko
78'Substitution · I. Pozo ⇄ A. Gharibyan
78'Yellow card · A. Meshchaninov
83'Substitution · M. Nade ⇄ M. Krizan
Goal · M. Petrov (assist : N. Titkov)85'
Substitution · N. Titkov ⇄ K. Shiltsov88'

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Baltika ahead at half-time75%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 22′ Baltika.
Rodina Moscow or Baltika77%held
Over 1.5 goals71%held
- The two teams had 10 shots on target: the match offered more than expected.
Baltika to win50%held
- Baltika took the lead in the 22nd minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 9 shots on target for Baltika against 1.
Under 2.5 goals54%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRodina Moscow 15th, Baltika 8th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match22′ opening goal, Baltika (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match74′ Baltika go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match85′ last goal, Baltika

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Baltika ahead at half-time” goes from 86.7% to 87.5% success rate, over 16 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,738 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes