Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Challenger Pro League · Belgium

full time

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Excelsior Virton

3–0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 2–0

KRC Genk II

What Janus-12 said

71%

Excelsior Virton or KRC Genk II

77% success over 30 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Excelsior Virton or KRC Genk II

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 12/09, 22:04.

Sealed on 12/09, 19:00announced on 29/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

63% success over 27 matches in this league
68%✗

Second Division

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Beerschot VA	6	5	0	1	+8	15
2	Dender	6	5	0	1	+6	15
3	Eupen	5	4	0	1	+6	12
4	Francs Borains	5	4	0	1	+5	12
5	Excelsior Virton	5	3	1	1	+6	10
6	Lokeren-Temse	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Sporting Hasselt	6	3	0	3	-3	9
8	Club Brugge II	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	KRC Genk II	6	2	1	3	-2	7
10	Liège	6	1	2	3	-3	5
11	KAA Gent II	5	1	2	2	-3	5
12	K. Lierse S.K.	5	1	2	2	-4	5
13	Patro Eisden	6	1	0	5	-5	3
14	Seraing	6	0	2	4	-6	2
15	RSC Anderlecht II	6	0	1	5	-8	1

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Excelsior Virton or KRC Genk II71%held
Draw or KRC Genk II ahead at half-time68%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 28′ Excelsior Virton.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableExcelsior Virton 5th, KRC Genk II 9th (Second Division)

During the match

During the match26′ sending-off, KRC Genk II (Wout Kapers)
During the match28′ opening goal, Excelsior Virton (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match54′ Excelsior Virton go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ last goal, Excelsior Virton

What it changes

In this league, “Excelsior Virton or KRC Genk II” goes from 76.7% to 77.4% success rate, over 31 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Excelsior Virton on the left, KRC Genk II on the right.

First half

Substitution · August De Wannemacker ⇄ Precious Ogbeiwi20'
Yellow card · Manu Mocsnik22'
24'VAR: Penalty confirmed · Allan Tchaptchet
Red card · Wout Kapers26'
28'Penalty goal · Ihab Goudani El Baraka
Substitution · Manu Mocsnik ⇄ Adrian Palacios37'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

54'Goal · Ehsan Kari (assist : Abdelsamad Hachem)
65'Yellow card · Allan Tchaptchet
71'Substitution · Paul Wade ⇄ Marks Inchaud
71'Substitution · Ehsan Kari ⇄ William Simba
Substitution · Yumeki Yoshinaga ⇄ Alpha Barry71'
Substitution · Kiyan Achahbar ⇄ Brad Manguelle72'
Substitution · Djoully Nzoko ⇄ Thierno Amadou Baldé72'
88'Substitution · Ihab Goudani El Baraka ⇄ Luca Maiorano
89'Substitution · Gaetan Arib ⇄ Antoine Valerio
90'Goal · Marks Inchaud (assist : Abdelsamad Hachem)
90+1'Substitution · Jean-Claude Ntenda ⇄ Brad-Hamilton Mantsounga

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Excelsior Virton or KRC Genk II71%held
Draw or KRC Genk II ahead at half-time68%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 28′ Excelsior Virton.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableExcelsior Virton 5th, KRC Genk II 9th (Second Division)

During the match

During the match26′ sending-off, KRC Genk II (Wout Kapers)
During the match28′ opening goal, Excelsior Virton (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match54′ Excelsior Virton go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match90′ last goal, Excelsior Virton

What it changes

In this league, “Excelsior Virton or KRC Genk II” goes from 76.7% to 77.4% success rate, over 31 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Second Division

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes