Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League · England

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Tottenham Hotspur

2–3full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 2–2

Aston Villa

What Janus-12 said

80%

Over 2.5 yellow cards

80% success over 35 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 1 bookmaker

Bet offered: Over 2.5 yellow cards

1xBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 00:33.

Sealed on 19/09, 12:30announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

78% success over 41 matches in this league
66%✗
76% success over 38 matches in this league
74%✓
76% success over 41 matches in this league
73%✓
74% success over 35 matches in this league
70%✓
66% success over 41 matches in this league
78%✓
66% success over 32 matches in this league
63%✗
63% success over 41 matches in this league
70%✓
59% success over 32 matches in this league
51%✓

Premier League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	+4	12
3	Brighton & Hove Albion	5	3	1	1	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	+6	9
5	Leeds United	5	2	3	0	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Newcastle United	5	2	2	1	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	-2	7
11	Ipswich Town	5	2	0	3	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	AFC Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	-3	2
20	Tottenham Hotspur	5	0	2	3	-6	2

What we announced

7/9

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Over 2.5 yellow cards80%held
- 3 yellow cards for 22 fouls given.
Under 11.5 corners66%lost
- 12 corners in total, with 64% possession for Tottenham Hotspur.
Draw or Aston Villa ahead at half-time74%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 45′ Aston Villa.
Tottenham Hotspur or Aston Villa73%held
Under 5.5 yellow cards70%held
Over 7.5 corners78%held
Over 3.5 yellow cards63%lost
At least 1 goal before half-time70%held
Under 4.5 yellow cards51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableTottenham Hotspur 20th, Aston Villa 16th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match45′ opening goal, Aston Villa (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match67′ Aston Villa go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match90′ last goal, Tottenham Hotspur

What it changes

In this league, “Over 2.5 yellow cards” goes from 80% to 80.6% success rate, over 36 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Tottenham Hotspur on the left, Aston Villa on the right.

First half

19'Substitution · Pedro Porro ⇄ Archie Gray
Substitution · Aaron Wan-Bissaka ⇄ Matty Cash45'
45'Substitution · Mateus Fernandes ⇄ Mohammed Kudus
Goal · Johan Manzambi (assist : Boubacar Kamara)45+4'
45+7'Yellow card · Jan Paul van Hecke

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

Yellow card · Nicolas Jackson46'
60'VAR: Goal cancelled · Mohammed Kudus
66'Substitution · Dominic Solanke ⇄ James Maddison
Goal · Nicolas Jackson (assist : Johan Manzambi)67'
Substitution · Johan Manzambi ⇄ George Hemmings72'
Goal · Emiliano Buendía (assist : John McGinn)79'
Substitution · John McGinn ⇄ Ross Barkley84'
Substitution · Boubacar Kamara ⇄ Ibrahim Mbaye84'
84'Substitution · Rodrigo Bentancur ⇄ Lucas Bergvall
84'Substitution · Sandro Tonali ⇄ Conor Gallagher
86'Goal · Conor Gallagher (assist : Mohammed Kudus)
Substitution · Nicolas Jackson ⇄ Tammy Abraham88'
Yellow card · Matty Cash90+2'
Yellow card · Unai Emery Etxegoien90+2'
90+8'Goal · Jan Paul van Hecke (assist : Andrew Robertson)

What we announced

7/9

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Over 2.5 yellow cards80%held
- 3 yellow cards for 22 fouls given.
Under 11.5 corners66%lost
- 12 corners in total, with 64% possession for Tottenham Hotspur.
Draw or Aston Villa ahead at half-time74%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 45′ Aston Villa.
Tottenham Hotspur or Aston Villa73%held
Under 5.5 yellow cards70%held
Over 7.5 corners78%held
Over 3.5 yellow cards63%lost
At least 1 goal before half-time70%held
Under 4.5 yellow cards51%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableTottenham Hotspur 20th, Aston Villa 16th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match45′ opening goal, Aston Villa (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match67′ Aston Villa go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match90′ last goal, Tottenham Hotspur

What it changes

In this league, “Over 2.5 yellow cards” goes from 80% to 80.6% success rate, over 36 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes