Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League · England

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Nottingham Forest

0-1full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 0–1

Coventry

What Janus-12 said

74%

Over 2.5 yellow cards

81% success over 36 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 26 %

A prediction at 74 % fails 26 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 1 bookmaker

Bet offered: Over 2.5 yellow cards

1xBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 00:33.

Sealed on 19/09, 17:30announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

76% success over 42 matches in this league
68%✓
76% success over 45 matches in this league
81%✗
75% success over 36 matches in this league
81%✓
71% success over 42 matches in this league
56%✓
67% success over 45 matches in this league
73%✗
67% success over 42 matches in this league
76%✓
64% success over 33 matches in this league
51%✗
61% success over 33 matches in this league
64%✓
47% success over 45 matches in this league
58%✗

Premier League

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	+4	12
3	Brighton & Hove Albion	5	3	1	1	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	+6	9
5	Leeds United	5	2	3	0	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Newcastle United	5	2	2	1	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	-2	7
11	Ipswich Town	5	2	0	3	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	AFC Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	-3	2
20	Tottenham Hotspur	5	0	2	3	-6	2

What we announced

5/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Over 2.5 yellow cards74%lost
- 2 yellow cards for 22 fouls given.
Under 11.5 corners68%held
- 8 corners in total, with 63% possession for Nottingham Forest.
Nottingham Forest or draw81%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Nottingham Forest had 24 shots against 10, for 0 goal against 1.
Under 5.5 yellow cards81%held
Draw or Coventry ahead at half-time56%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
At least 1 goal before half-time73%lost
Over 7.5 corners76%held
Over 3.5 yellow cards51%lost
Under 4.5 yellow cards64%held
Nottingham Forest to win58%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableNottingham Forest 13th, Coventry 18th (Premier League)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match55′ opening goal, Coventry (0-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Over 2.5 yellow cards” goes from 80.6% to 78.4% success rate, over 37 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Nottingham Forest on the left, Coventry on the right.

First half

Substitution · Ephron Mason-Clark ⇄ Loum Tchaouna45'

Half-time0 - 0

Second half

Goal · Jay Dasilva (assist : Carl Rushworth)55'
59'Yellow card · Liam Delap
59'Substitution · Dan Ndoye ⇄ Igor Jesus
73'Substitution · Ousmane Diomande ⇄ Chris Wood
Substitution · Jack Rudoni ⇄ Ellis Simms74'
83'Substitution · Daniel Muñoz ⇄ Luca Netz
83'Substitution · James Mcatee ⇄ Ibrahim Sangaré
88'VAR: Goal cancelled · Igor Jesus
Substitution · Caleb Yirenkyi ⇄ Joel Latibeaudiere90+1'
90+4'Yellow card · Jair Cunha

What we announced

5/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Over 2.5 yellow cards74%lost
- 2 yellow cards for 22 fouls given.
Under 11.5 corners68%held
- 8 corners in total, with 63% possession for Nottingham Forest.
Nottingham Forest or draw81%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Nottingham Forest had 24 shots against 10, for 0 goal against 1.
Under 5.5 yellow cards81%held
Draw or Coventry ahead at half-time56%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
At least 1 goal before half-time73%lost
Over 7.5 corners76%held
Over 3.5 yellow cards51%lost
Under 4.5 yellow cards64%held
Nottingham Forest to win58%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableNottingham Forest 13th, Coventry 18th (Premier League)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match55′ opening goal, Coventry (0-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Over 2.5 yellow cards” goes from 80.6% to 78.4% success rate, over 37 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes