Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League · England

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Newcastle United

2–1full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 0–1

Hull City

What Janus-12 said

77%

Over 2.5 yellow cards

80% success over 35 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 1 bookmaker

Bet offered: Over 2.5 yellow cards

1xBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 00:33.

Sealed on 19/09, 15:00announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

78% success over 41 matches in this league
63%✓
77% success over 39 matches in this league
56%✗
76% success over 42 matches in this league
82%✓
74% success over 35 matches in this league
78%✓
66% success over 41 matches in this league
79%✓
66% success over 32 matches in this league
58%✓
64% success over 42 matches in this league
73%✓
59% success over 32 matches in this league
66%✗
45% success over 42 matches in this league
59%✓

Premier League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	+4	12
3	Brighton & Hove Albion	5	3	1	1	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	+6	9
5	Leeds United	5	2	3	0	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Newcastle United	5	2	2	1	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	-2	7
11	Ipswich Town	5	2	0	3	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	AFC Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	-3	2
20	Tottenham Hotspur	5	0	2	3	-6	2

What we announced

8/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Over 2.5 yellow cards77%held
- 5 yellow cards for 14 fouls given.
Under 11.5 corners63%held
- 11 corners in total, with 56% possession for Newcastle United.
Draw or Hull City ahead at half-time56%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 3′ Newcastle United, 7′ Newcastle United.
Newcastle United or draw82%held
- Newcastle United took the lead in the 3rd minute and never let it go.
- Newcastle United took control early: opening goal in the 3rd minute.
Under 5.5 yellow cards78%held
Over 7.5 corners79%held
Over 3.5 yellow cards58%held
At least 1 goal before half-time73%held
Under 4.5 yellow cards66%lost
Newcastle United to win59%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableNewcastle United 9th, Hull City 8th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, Newcastle United (1-0)
During the match7′ Newcastle United go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0

What it changes

In this league, “Over 2.5 yellow cards” goes from 80% to 80.6% success rate, over 36 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Newcastle United on the left, Hull City on the right.

First half

3'Goal · Joe Willock (assist : Harvey Barnes)
7'Goal · Lewis Hall (assist : Harvey Barnes)
Yellow card · Matt Crooks29'
Yellow card · Mohamed Belloumi39'
Substitution · Matt Crooks ⇄ Tim Iroegbunam45'
Yellow card · Konstantinos Tzolakis45+2'
45+2'Missed penalty · Yoane Wissa
45+3'Yellow card · Jacob Murphy

Half-time2 – 0

Second half

Yellow card · Ryan Giles49'
Substitution · Sorba Thomas ⇄ Mohamed Ali Cho63'
66'Substitution · Sean Steur ⇄ Fabian Schär
Goal · Mohamed Ali Cho (assist : Mohamed Belloumi)67'
74'Substitution · Matias Fernandez-Pardo ⇄ Bazoumana Touré
Substitution · Regan Slater ⇄ Lucas Gourna-Douath78'
Substitution · John Egan ⇄ Robinio Vaz78'
Substitution · Mohamed Belloumi ⇄ Joe Gelhardt83'
87'Substitution · Joe Willock ⇄ Aladji Bamba

What we announced

8/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Over 2.5 yellow cards77%held
- 5 yellow cards for 14 fouls given.
Under 11.5 corners63%held
- 11 corners in total, with 56% possession for Newcastle United.
Draw or Hull City ahead at half-time56%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 3′ Newcastle United, 7′ Newcastle United.
Newcastle United or draw82%held
- Newcastle United took the lead in the 3rd minute and never let it go.
- Newcastle United took control early: opening goal in the 3rd minute.
Under 5.5 yellow cards78%held
Over 7.5 corners79%held
Over 3.5 yellow cards58%held
At least 1 goal before half-time73%held
Under 4.5 yellow cards66%lost
Newcastle United to win59%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableNewcastle United 9th, Hull City 8th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, Newcastle United (1-0)
During the match7′ Newcastle United go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0

What it changes

In this league, “Over 2.5 yellow cards” goes from 80% to 80.6% success rate, over 36 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes