Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League · England

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 20 September at 14:00. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 15:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Leeds United

0–0full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 0–0

Crystal Palace

What Janus-12 said

69%

Over 2.5 yellow cards

80% success over 40 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 4 bookmakers

Bet offered: Over 2.5 yellow cards

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 11:33.

Sealed on 20/09, 14:00announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

78% success over 46 matches in this league
63%✓
78% success over 40 matches in this league
82%✓
74% success over 46 matches in this league
79%✓
72% success over 43 matches in this league
63%✓
70% success over 46 matches in this league
82%✗
67% success over 3 matches in this league
51%✗
65% success over 46 matches in this league
72%✗
59% success over 37 matches in this league
61%✗
46% success over 46 matches in this league
54%✗

Premier League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	+4	12
3	Brighton & Hove Albion	5	3	1	1	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	+6	9
5	Leeds United	5	2	3	0	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Newcastle United	5	2	2	1	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	-2	7
11	Ipswich Town	5	2	0	3	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	AFC Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	-3	2
20	Tottenham Hotspur	5	0	2	3	-6	2

What we announced

5/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Over 2.5 yellow cards69%held
- 5 yellow cards for 22 fouls given.
Under 11.5 corners63%held
- 7 corners in total, with 51% possession for Leeds United.
Under 5.5 yellow cards82%held
Leeds United or draw79%held
- No goal at either end: the draw was enough for the prediction.
Draw or Crystal Palace ahead at half-time63%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Over 7.5 corners82%lost
Under 3.5 yellow cards51%lost
At least 1 goal before half-time72%lost
Under 4.5 yellow cards61%lost
Leeds United to win54%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Leeds United had 13 shots against 12, and no goal came.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLeeds United 5th, Crystal Palace 15th (Premier League)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0

What it changes

In this league, “Over 2.5 yellow cards” goes from 80% to 80.5% success rate, over 41 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Leeds United on the left, Crystal Palace on the right.

First half

38'Yellow card · Jayden Bogle
Substitution · Takehiro Tomiyasu ⇄ Jefferson Lerma45'

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

VAR: Goal cancelled · Tyrick Mitchell52'
62'Yellow card · Ao Tanaka
Yellow card · Adam Wharton64'
67'Substitution · Jayden Bogle ⇄ Daniel James
67'Substitution · Ao Tanaka ⇄ Brenden Aaronson
76'Substitution · Noah Okafor ⇄ Lukas Nmecha
Yellow card · Yeremy Pino81'
Substitution · Yeremy Pino ⇄ Ismaila Sarr82'
Substitution · Jörgen Strand Larsen ⇄ Eddie Nketiah82'
90+2'Substitution · Gabriel Gudmundsson ⇄ Jean Matteo Bahoya
Yellow card · Jefferson Lerma90+3'

What we announced

5/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Over 2.5 yellow cards69%held
- 5 yellow cards for 22 fouls given.
Under 11.5 corners63%held
- 7 corners in total, with 51% possession for Leeds United.
Under 5.5 yellow cards82%held
Leeds United or draw79%held
- No goal at either end: the draw was enough for the prediction.
Draw or Crystal Palace ahead at half-time63%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Over 7.5 corners82%lost
Under 3.5 yellow cards51%lost
At least 1 goal before half-time72%lost
Under 4.5 yellow cards61%lost
Leeds United to win54%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Leeds United had 13 shots against 12, and no goal came.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLeeds United 5th, Crystal Palace 15th (Premier League)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0

What it changes

In this league, “Over 2.5 yellow cards” goes from 80% to 80.5% success rate, over 41 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes