Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League · England

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Brighton & Hove Albion

3–0full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 1–0

Arsenal

What Janus-12 said

76%

Over 2.5 yellow cards

80% success over 35 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 1 bookmaker

Bet offered: Over 2.5 yellow cards

1xBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 00:33.

Sealed on 19/09, 15:00announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

78% success over 41 matches in this league
60%✓
77% success over 39 matches in this league
81%✗
76% success over 42 matches in this league
82%✗
74% success over 35 matches in this league
75%✓
66% success over 41 matches in this league
73%✓
66% success over 32 matches in this league
53%✓
64% success over 42 matches in this league
73%✓
59% success over 32 matches in this league
50%✗
45% success over 42 matches in this league
55%✗

Premier League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	+4	12
3	Brighton & Hove Albion	5	3	1	1	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	+6	9
5	Leeds United	5	2	3	0	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Newcastle United	5	2	2	1	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	-2	7
11	Ipswich Town	5	2	0	3	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	AFC Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	-3	2
20	Tottenham Hotspur	5	0	2	3	-6	2

What we announced

6/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Over 2.5 yellow cards76%held
- 5 yellow cards for 24 fouls given.
Under 11.5 corners60%held
- 11 corners in total, with 40% possession for Brighton & Hove Albion.
Draw or Arsenal ahead at half-time81%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 31′ Brighton & Hove Albion, 45′ Brighton & Hove Albion.
Draw or Arsenal82%lost
Under 5.5 yellow cards75%held
Over 7.5 corners73%held
Over 3.5 yellow cards53%held
At least 1 goal before half-time73%held
Under 4.5 yellow cards50%lost
Arsenal to win55%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBrighton & Hove Albion 3rd, Arsenal 2nd (Premier League)

During the match

During the match31′ opening goal, Brighton & Hove Albion (1-0)
During the match45′ Brighton & Hove Albion go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0

What it changes

In this league, “Over 2.5 yellow cards” goes from 80% to 80.6% success rate, over 36 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Brighton & Hove Albion on the left, Arsenal on the right.

First half

31'Goal · Pascal Groß (assist : Charalampos Kostoulas)
33'Yellow card · Charalampos Kostoulas
45'Goal · Charalampos Kostoulas (assist : Diego Gomez)
45+1'Yellow card · Ferdi Kadıoğlu

Half-time2 – 0

Second half

57'Goal · Chema Andrés (assist : Pascal Groß)
Substitution · Jurriën Timber ⇄ Martín Zubimendi60'
Substitution · Bruno Guimarães ⇄ Mikel Merino60'
71'Yellow card · Pascal Struijk
Substitution · Martin Odegaard ⇄ Viktor Gyökeres73'
Substitution · Christos Tzolis ⇄ Eberechi Eze73'
76'Substitution · Ferdi Kadıoğlu ⇄ Costinha
76'Substitution · Charalampos Kostoulas ⇄ Georginio Rutter
Substitution · Bukayo Saka ⇄ Max Dowman81'
85'Substitution · Chema Andrés ⇄ Malick Yalcouyé
86'Substitution · Diego Gomez ⇄ Matt O'Riley
86'Substitution · Pascal Struijk ⇄ Michael Svoboda
90+1'Yellow card · Maxim De Cuyper
Yellow card · Declan Rice90+7'

What we announced

6/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Over 2.5 yellow cards76%held
- 5 yellow cards for 24 fouls given.
Under 11.5 corners60%held
- 11 corners in total, with 40% possession for Brighton & Hove Albion.
Draw or Arsenal ahead at half-time81%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 31′ Brighton & Hove Albion, 45′ Brighton & Hove Albion.
Draw or Arsenal82%lost
Under 5.5 yellow cards75%held
Over 7.5 corners73%held
Over 3.5 yellow cards53%held
At least 1 goal before half-time73%held
Under 4.5 yellow cards50%lost
Arsenal to win55%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBrighton & Hove Albion 3rd, Arsenal 2nd (Premier League)

During the match

During the match31′ opening goal, Brighton & Hove Albion (1-0)
During the match45′ Brighton & Hove Albion go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0

What it changes

In this league, “Over 2.5 yellow cards” goes from 80% to 80.6% success rate, over 36 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes