Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League · England

full time

Monday, 14 September 2026

Leeds United

4-1full timeHT 3–0 · 2H 1–1

Newcastle United

What Janus-12 said

66%

Under 11.5 corners

79% success over 39 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Under 11.5 corners

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 14/09, 23:31.

Sealed on 14/09, 20:00announced on 01/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

78% success over 36 matches in this league
65%✗
74% success over 39 matches in this league
72%✓
64% success over 39 matches in this league
81%✓
64% success over 39 matches in this league
71%✓

Premier League

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	+4	12
3	Brighton & Hove Albion	5	3	1	1	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	+6	9
5	Leeds United	5	2	3	0	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Newcastle United	5	2	2	1	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	-2	7
11	Ipswich Town	5	2	0	3	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	AFC Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	-3	2
20	Tottenham Hotspur	5	0	2	3	-6	2

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 11.5 corners66%held
- 10 corners in total, with 51% possession for Leeds United.
Draw or Newcastle United ahead at half-time65%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 3-0 at half-time, 32′ Leeds United, 34′ Leeds United, 45′ Leeds United.
Leeds United or Newcastle United72%held
Over 7.5 corners81%held
At least 1 goal before half-time71%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLeeds United 5th, Newcastle United 9th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match32′ opening goal, Leeds United (1-0)
During the match34′ Leeds United go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-0
During the match90′ last goal, Newcastle United

What it changes

In this league, “Under 11.5 corners” goes from 79.5% to 80% success rate, over 40 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,546 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Leeds United on the left, Newcastle United on the right.

First half

Substitution · Nico González ⇄ Sean Steur19'
32'Own goal · Lewis Miley
34'Goal · Jayden Bogle (assist : Dominic Calvert-Lewin)
44'Yellow card · Dominic Calvert-Lewin
45+1'Goal · Dominic Calvert-Lewin (assist : Tarik Muharemovic)

Half-time3 - 0

Second half

Yellow card · Jacob Murphy54'
Substitution · Jacob Murphy ⇄ Bazoumana Touré57'
Substitution · Matias Fernandez-Pardo ⇄ Joe Willock57'
Substitution · Amar Dedić ⇄ Valentino Livramento58'
59'Goal · Noah Okafor
72'Substitution · Noah Okafor ⇄ Harry Wilson
72'Substitution · Ao Tanaka ⇄ Brenden Aaronson
72'Substitution · Gabriel Gudmundsson ⇄ Melvin Bard
78'Substitution · Dominic Calvert-Lewin ⇄ Lukas Nmecha
Substitution · Lewis Miley ⇄ Aladji Bamba80'
83'Substitution · Jayden Bogle ⇄ Daniel James
88'Substitution · Anton Stach ⇄ Sean Longstaff
Goal · Bazoumana Touré90'
Yellow card · Valentino Livramento90+1'

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 11.5 corners66%held
- 10 corners in total, with 51% possession for Leeds United.
Draw or Newcastle United ahead at half-time65%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 3-0 at half-time, 32′ Leeds United, 34′ Leeds United, 45′ Leeds United.
Leeds United or Newcastle United72%held
Over 7.5 corners81%held
At least 1 goal before half-time71%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLeeds United 5th, Newcastle United 9th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match32′ opening goal, Leeds United (1-0)
During the match34′ Leeds United go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-0
During the match90′ last goal, Newcastle United

What it changes

In this league, “Under 11.5 corners” goes from 79.5% to 80% success rate, over 40 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,546 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes