Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League · England

full time

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Aston Villa

1–2full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 1–2

Nottingham Forest

What Janus-12 said

68%

Under 11.5 corners

83% success over 30 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 6 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 11.5 corners

1xBet
Betsson
Betwinner
MelBet
Paripesa
SportyBet

Open a Betwinner account

Promo code: janus-12

Partner link: Janus-12 is paid for accounts opened with this link or code.

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 12/09, 04:54.

Sealed on 12/09, 15:00announced on 29/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

80% success over 30 matches in this league
75%✗
70% success over 27 matches in this league
61%✓
70% success over 30 matches in this league
73%✗
63% success over 30 matches in this league
78%✗

Premier League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	+4	12
3	Brighton & Hove Albion	5	3	1	1	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	+6	9
5	Leeds United	5	2	3	0	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Newcastle United	5	2	2	1	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	-2	7
11	Ipswich Town	5	2	0	3	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	AFC Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	-3	2
20	Tottenham Hotspur	5	0	2	3	-6	2

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 11.5 corners68%held
- 7 corners in total, with 53% possession for Aston Villa.
Aston Villa or draw75%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Nottingham Forest scored in the 88th minute.
- The opposing bench made the difference: the goal in the 88th minute came from a substitute.
Draw or Nottingham Forest ahead at half-time61%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
At least 1 goal before half-time73%lost
Over 7.5 corners78%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAston Villa 16th, Nottingham Forest 13th (Premier League)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match46′ opening goal, Nottingham Forest (0-1)
During the match74′ equaliser, Aston Villa (1-1)
During the match88′ Nottingham Forest retake the lead (1-2)
Line-up88′ the goal came off the bench: Igor Jesus (Nottingham Forest)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 11.5 corners” goes from 83.3% to 83.9% success rate, over 31 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Aston Villa on the left, Nottingham Forest on the right.

First half

25'Substitution · Pau Torres ⇄ Tyrone Mings
Yellow card · Dan Ndoye43'
45'Yellow card · Nicolas Jackson
45'Substitution · Nicolas Jackson ⇄ Tammy Abraham
45'Substitution · George Hemmings ⇄ Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha
Yellow card · Murillo Santiago45+3'

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

Goal · Liam Delap (assist : Murillo Santiago)46'
Yellow card · Xaver Schlager56'
63'Substitution · Emiliano Buendía ⇄ Ibrahim Mbaye
63'Substitution · Ross Barkley ⇄ Johan Manzambi
74'Goal · Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha (assist : John McGinn)
Yellow card · Liam Delap75'
Substitution · Dan Ndoye ⇄ Igor Jesus75'
Yellow card · James Mcatee80'
Substitution · James Mcatee ⇄ Ibrahim Sangaré82'
Goal · Igor Jesus (assist : Morgan Gibbs-White)88'
Substitution · Liam Delap ⇄ Chris Wood90+1'
90+5'Yellow card · Tyrone Mings

What we announced

2/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 11.5 corners68%held
- 7 corners in total, with 53% possession for Aston Villa.
Aston Villa or draw75%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Nottingham Forest scored in the 88th minute.
- The opposing bench made the difference: the goal in the 88th minute came from a substitute.
Draw or Nottingham Forest ahead at half-time61%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
At least 1 goal before half-time73%lost
Over 7.5 corners78%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAston Villa 16th, Nottingham Forest 13th (Premier League)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match46′ opening goal, Nottingham Forest (0-1)
During the match74′ equaliser, Aston Villa (1-1)
During the match88′ Nottingham Forest retake the lead (1-2)
Line-up88′ the goal came off the bench: Igor Jesus (Nottingham Forest)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 11.5 corners” goes from 83.3% to 83.9% success rate, over 31 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes