Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League · England

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Brighton & Hove Albion

1-1full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 1–0

Leeds United

What Janus-12 said

61%

Under 11.5 corners

86% success over 21 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 39 %

A prediction at 61 % fails 39 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 6 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 11.5 corners

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/09, 04:07.

Sealed on 05/09, 15:00announced on 22/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

77% success over 22 matches in this league
72%✓
77% success over 22 matches in this league
71%✓
67% success over 21 matches in this league
79%✓
67% success over 21 matches in this league
64%✓

Premier League

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	+4	12
3	Brighton & Hove Albion	5	3	1	1	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	+6	9
5	Leeds United	5	2	3	0	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Newcastle United	5	2	2	1	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	-2	7
11	Ipswich Town	5	2	0	3	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	AFC Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	-3	2
20	Tottenham Hotspur	5	0	2	3	-6	2

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 11.5 corners61%lost
- 13 corners in total, with 67% possession for Brighton & Hove Albion.
Brighton & Hove Albion or draw72%held
At least 1 goal before half-time71%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 15′ Leeds United.
Over 7.5 corners79%held
Draw or Leeds United ahead at half-time64%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBrighton & Hove Albion 3rd, Leeds United 5th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match15′ opening goal, Leeds United (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match71′ equaliser, Brighton & Hove Albion (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 11.5 corners” goes from 85.7% to 81.8% success rate, over 22 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Brighton & Hove Albion on the left, Leeds United on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Jayden Bogle6'
Goal · Jayden Bogle (assist : Ao Tanaka)15'
38'Yellow card · Pascal Groß

Half-time0 - 1

Second half

49'Yellow card · Maxim De Cuyper
Substitution · Jayden Bogle ⇄ Jaka Bijol61'
Substitution · Noah Okafor ⇄ Brenden Aaronson62'
Yellow card · Dominic Calvert-Lewin64'
71'Goal · Luka Vuskovic (assist : Maxim De Cuyper)
Substitution · Ao Tanaka ⇄ Harry Wilson73'
Substitution · Dominic Calvert-Lewin ⇄ Lukas Nmecha73'
77'Substitution · Maxim De Cuyper ⇄ Promise David
78'Substitution · Ferdi Kadıoğlu ⇄ Costinha
Yellow card · Harry Wilson85'
88'Yellow card · Promise David
90+3'Substitution · Olivier Boscagli ⇄ Pascal Struijk

What we announced

4/5

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 11.5 corners61%lost
- 13 corners in total, with 67% possession for Brighton & Hove Albion.
Brighton & Hove Albion or draw72%held
At least 1 goal before half-time71%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 15′ Leeds United.
Over 7.5 corners79%held
Draw or Leeds United ahead at half-time64%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBrighton & Hove Albion 3rd, Leeds United 5th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match15′ opening goal, Leeds United (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match71′ equaliser, Brighton & Hove Albion (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 11.5 corners” goes from 85.7% to 81.8% success rate, over 22 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes