Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premier League · England

full time

Sunday, 6 September 2026

Arsenal

2–1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 1–0

Chelsea

What Janus-12 said

50%

Arsenal ahead at half-time

100% success over 2 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 50 %

A prediction at 50 % fails 50 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Arsenal ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 06/09, 04:47.

Sealed on 06/09, 16:30announced on 23/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

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69% success over 29 matches in this league
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64% success over 28 matches in this league
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41% success over 29 matches in this league
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Premier League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	+4	12
3	Brighton & Hove Albion	5	3	1	1	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	+6	9
5	Leeds United	5	2	3	0	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Newcastle United	5	2	2	1	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	-2	7
11	Ipswich Town	5	2	0	3	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	AFC Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	-3	2
20	Tottenham Hotspur	5	0	2	3	-6	2

What we announced

5/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Arsenal ahead at half-time50%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 2′ Chelsea, 25′ Arsenal.
Under 11.5 corners70%held
- 8 corners in total, with 55% possession for Arsenal.
Arsenal or draw87%held
- Arsenal took control early: opening goal in the 25th minute.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 9 shots on target for Arsenal against 5.
At least 1 goal before half-time75%held
Over 7.5 corners75%held
Arsenal to win65%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableArsenal 2nd, Chelsea 10th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match2′ opening goal, Chelsea (0-1)
During the match25′ equaliser, Arsenal (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match50′ turnaround, Arsenal go ahead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Arsenal ahead at half-time” goes from 100% to 66.7% success rate, over 3 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,465 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Arsenal on the left, Chelsea on the right.

First half

Goal · Morgan Rogers (assist : Jorrel Hato)2'
13'VAR: Goal cancelled · Riccardo Calafiori
Yellow card · João Pedro14'
25'Goal · Kai Havertz (assist : Declan Rice)
Yellow card · Cole Palmer45'

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

50'Goal · Martin Odegaard (assist : Christos Tzolis)
58'Yellow card · Christos Tzolis
Yellow card · Maxence Lacroix58'
Substitution · Jorrel Hato ⇄ Pep Chavarria60'
Substitution · Romeo Lavia ⇄ Malo Gusto60'
67'Substitution · Riccardo Calafiori ⇄ Piero Hincapié
67'Substitution · Myles Lewis-Skelly ⇄ Martín Zubimendi
77'Substitution · Martin Odegaard ⇄ Mikel Merino
78'Substitution · Kai Havertz ⇄ Viktor Gyökeres
Substitution · Pedro Neto ⇄ Estêvão Willian Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves81'
Yellow card · Morgan Rogers83'
Substitution · Morgan Rogers ⇄ Danny Welbeck87'
90'Substitution · Bukayo Saka ⇄ Noni Madueke
90+5'Yellow card · Mikel Merino

What we announced

5/6

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Arsenal ahead at half-time50%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 2′ Chelsea, 25′ Arsenal.
Under 11.5 corners70%held
- 8 corners in total, with 55% possession for Arsenal.
Arsenal or draw87%held
- Arsenal took control early: opening goal in the 25th minute.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 9 shots on target for Arsenal against 5.
At least 1 goal before half-time75%held
Over 7.5 corners75%held
Arsenal to win65%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableArsenal 2nd, Chelsea 10th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match2′ opening goal, Chelsea (0-1)
During the match25′ equaliser, Arsenal (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match50′ turnaround, Arsenal go ahead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Arsenal ahead at half-time” goes from 100% to 66.7% success rate, over 3 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,465 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes