Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premiership (Scotland) · Scotland

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Kilmarnock

1–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–1

Hearts

What Janus-12 said

79%

Draw or Hearts

80% success over 40 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Draw or Hearts

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 19/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 19/09, 17:45announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

48% success over 40 matches in this league
54%✗

Premier League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Celtic	7	6	0	1	+10	18
2	Rangers	7	5	1	1	+4	16
3	Hearts	7	4	1	2	+6	13
4	Dundee	7	3	1	3	+2	10
5	St. Mirren	7	3	1	3	-1	10
6	St. Johnstone	7	2	2	3	-1	8
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	-1	8
8	Dundee United	7	2	2	3	-2	8
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	-2	8
10	Hibernian	7	2	1	4	-3	7
11	Falkirk	7	1	3	3	-3	6
12	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	-9	5

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Hearts79%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 3 shots on target for Hearts against 0.
Hearts to win54%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Hearts had 17 shots against 4, for 1 goal against 1.
- Hearts chased the score almost all match: Kilmarnock scored as early as the 16th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableKilmarnock 12th, Hearts 3rd (Premier League)

During the match

During the match16′ opening goal, Kilmarnock (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match86′ equaliser, Hearts (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Hearts” goes from 80% to 80.5% success rate, over 41 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Kilmarnock on the left, Hearts on the right.

First half

10'Yellow card · Cathal McCarthy
VAR: Goal cancelled · Laurent mendy13'
16'Own goal · Jamie McCart
Substitution · Stuart Findlay ⇄ Harry Milne32'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Substitution · Claudio Rafael Soares Braga ⇄ Jerome Williams59'
Substitution · Tomas Bent Magnusson ⇄ Eduardo Ageu59'
Substitution · Josh Mcpake ⇄ Severin Sabri Guendouz59'
Yellow card · Stephen Kingsley63'
67'Substitution · Bailey Rice ⇄ Aaron Tshibola
Substitution · Calvin Miller ⇄ Sabah Kerjota69'
76'Substitution · Tyreece John-Jules ⇄ Mark O'Hara
82'Substitution · Tom Lowery ⇄ Rory McKenzie
83'Yellow card · Michael Schjonning-Larsen
Goal · Stephen Kingsley86'
Yellow card · Christian Dahle Borchgrevink90'

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Hearts79%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 3 shots on target for Hearts against 0.
Hearts to win54%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Hearts had 17 shots against 4, for 1 goal against 1.
- Hearts chased the score almost all match: Kilmarnock scored as early as the 16th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableKilmarnock 12th, Hearts 3rd (Premier League)

During the match

During the match16′ opening goal, Kilmarnock (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match86′ equaliser, Hearts (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Hearts” goes from 80% to 80.5% success rate, over 41 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes