Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Premiership (Scotland) · Scotland

full time

Sunday, 30 August 2026

St. Mirren

3–3full timeHT 3–2 · 2H 0–1

Motherwell

What Janus-12 said

74%

St. Mirren or Motherwell

88% success over 17 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 26 %

A prediction at 74 % fails 26 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: St. Mirren or Motherwell

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 30/08, 09:48.

Sealed on 30/08, 15:00announced on 16/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Premier League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Celtic	7	6	0	1	+10	18
2	Rangers	7	5	1	1	+4	16
3	Hearts	7	4	1	2	+6	13
4	Dundee	7	3	1	3	+2	10
5	St. Mirren	7	3	1	3	-1	10
6	St. Johnstone	7	2	2	3	-1	8
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	-1	8
8	Dundee United	7	2	2	3	-2	8
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	-2	8
10	Hibernian	7	2	1	4	-3	7
11	Falkirk	7	1	3	3	-3	6
12	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	-9	5

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

St. Mirren or Motherwell74%lost
- The volume of chances went no further: 4.39 expected goals in total.
- The two teams managed only 15 shots on target in total, for 6 goals.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSt. Mirren 5th, Motherwell 9th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match2′ opening goal, Motherwell (0-1)
During the match24′ Motherwell go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match44′ St. Mirren come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match45′ turnaround, St. Mirren go ahead (3-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-2
During the match90′ equaliser, Motherwell (3-3)

What it changes

In this league, “St. Mirren or Motherwell” goes from 88.2% to 83.3% success rate, over 18 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,738 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

St. Mirren on the left, Motherwell on the right.

First half

Goal · T. Maswanhise (assist : A. Lowry)2'
Missed penalty · T. Maswanhise (assist : T. Maswanhise)15'
Goal · R. Charles-Cook24'
39'Goal · P. Nsio (assist : S. Ramos)
44'Goal · D. John (assist : S. Ramos)
45+4'Goal · S. Ramos (assist : A. Gogic)

Half-time3 – 2

Second half

Substitution · T. Sparrow ⇄ S. O'Donnell46'
Yellow card · S. O'Donnell47'
Yellow card · M. Moormann52'
Substitution · R. Charles-Cook ⇄ S. Palmer-Houlden58'
Substitution · T. Maswanhise ⇄ J. Kanga58'
61'Substitution · N. Agrafiotis ⇄ E. Sule
61'Substitution · C. Ramsay ⇄ J. Richardson
61'Substitution · C. R. Mochrie ⇄ F. Taylor
Substitution · J. Hodge ⇄ D. Williams71'
71'Substitution · S. Ramos ⇄ L. Thomas
Substitution · I. Said ⇄ E. Bjorgolfsson73'
75'Substitution · I. Kabia ⇄ J. Young
85'Yellow card · R. Carr
89'Yellow card · J. Young
Goal · J. Kanga90+3'

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

St. Mirren or Motherwell74%lost
- The volume of chances went no further: 4.39 expected goals in total.
- The two teams managed only 15 shots on target in total, for 6 goals.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSt. Mirren 5th, Motherwell 9th (Premier League)

During the match

During the match2′ opening goal, Motherwell (0-1)
During the match24′ Motherwell go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match44′ St. Mirren come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match45′ turnaround, St. Mirren go ahead (3-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-2
During the match90′ equaliser, Motherwell (3-3)

What it changes

In this league, “St. Mirren or Motherwell” goes from 88.2% to 83.3% success rate, over 18 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,738 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Premier League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes