Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Super League (Switzerland) · Switzerland

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Basel

1–3full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 0–2

St. Gallen

What Janus-12 said

75%

Basel or draw

75% success over 36 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 25 %

A prediction at 75 % fails 25 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Basel or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 03:11.

Sealed on 20/09, 15:30announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Super League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Lugano	9	8	1	0	+20	25
2	Young Boys	9	5	4	0	+13	19
3	Sion	9	6	1	2	+9	19
4	Basel	9	4	1	4	0	13
5	St. Gallen	9	4	1	4	-3	13
6	Luzern	9	3	3	3	-1	12
7	Zurich	9	3	2	4	-6	11
8	Servette	9	3	1	5	-2	10
9	Thun	9	3	1	5	-8	10
10	Grasshoppers	9	2	2	5	-11	8
11	Vaduz	9	2	0	7	-3	6
12	Lausanne	9	1	3	5	-8	6

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Basel or draw75%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: St. Gallen scored in the 85th minute.
- Basel chased the score almost all match: St. Gallen scored as early as the 9th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBasel 4th, St. Gallen 5th (Super League)

During the match

During the match9′ opening goal, St. Gallen (0-1)
During the match43′ equaliser, Basel (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match65′ St. Gallen retake the lead (1-2)
During the match85′ St. Gallen go 2 goals up (1-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Basel or draw” goes from 75% to 73% success rate, over 37 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Basel on the left, St. Gallen on the right.

First half

Goal · Aliou Balde9'
21'Yellow card · Clément Michelin
Yellow card · Aliou Balde26'
31'Yellow card · Jonas harder
Yellow card · Enrico Maaßen42'
43'Penalty goal · Žan Celar
45'Substitution · Jonas harder ⇄ Ludwig Thorell
Substitution · Jozo Stanić ⇄ Joel Ruiz45'

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

Substitution · Aliou Balde ⇄ Nevio Scherrer61'
Substitution · Betim Fazliji ⇄ Carlo Boukhalfa62'
64'Substitution · Clément Michelin ⇄ Moussa Cisse
Goal · Christian Witzig (assist : Carlo Boukhalfa)65'
71'Substitution · Philip Otele ⇄ Aaron Malouda
75'Yellow card · Kazeem Olaigbe
Substitution · Andrin Hunziker ⇄ Diego Besio78'
81'Substitution · Keigo Tsunemoto ⇄ giacomo koloto
Goal · Carlo Boukhalfa85'
Substitution · Hugo Vandermersch ⇄ Tom Gaal86'
90+2'Yellow card · Xherdan Shaqiri

What we announced

0/1

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Basel or draw75%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: St. Gallen scored in the 85th minute.
- Basel chased the score almost all match: St. Gallen scored as early as the 9th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBasel 4th, St. Gallen 5th (Super League)

During the match

During the match9′ opening goal, St. Gallen (0-1)
During the match43′ equaliser, Basel (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match65′ St. Gallen retake the lead (1-2)
During the match85′ St. Gallen go 2 goals up (1-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Basel or draw” goes from 75% to 73% success rate, over 37 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Super League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes